Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRCY)

Published
NasdaqGS:MRCY

It's not a stretch to say that Mercury Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MRCY) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Mercury Systems

NasdaqGS:MRCY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024

What Does Mercury Systems' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Mercury Systems could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Mercury Systems' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Mercury Systems?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Mercury Systems would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 9.6% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.5% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 2.8% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Mercury Systems' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Mercury Systems' P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

A Mercury Systems' P/S seems about right to us given the knowledge that analysts are forecasting a revenue outlook that is similar to the Aerospace & Defense industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Mercury Systems.

If you're unsure about the strength of Mercury Systems' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.