Ferrovial N.V.

NasdaqGS:FER Stock Report

Market Cap: US$50.6b

Ferrovial Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Ferrovial is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6% and 4.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 6.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15% in 3 years.

Key information

6.0%

Earnings growth rate

6.29%

EPS growth rate

Construction earnings growth23.2%
Revenue growth rate4.6%
Future return on equity14.98%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated04 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Mar 17

Ferrovial: A Fairly Valued Bet On Urban Traffic Congestion

Summary Ferrovial SE is pivoting toward US toll roads, leveraging monopoly-like, inflation-linked cash flows in high-growth, congested urban markets. FER's integrated model and capital recycling strategy drive profitability, but accounting obscures the scale of its high-margin concessions like 407 ETR. Despite aggressive US expansion and potential JFK NTO upside, FER trades at a full valuation with limited near-term upside and significant execution risk. I rate FER as HOLD, citing execution risk, fully priced shares, and a reduced margin of safety after the recent rally. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 26

Ferrovial: Cold Shower Before The Next Leg Up

Summary Ferrovial's strong operational performance and US listing have driven the stock to new highs, with potential for a discounted buy opportunity amid capital return speculation. The company had a stellar 2024, breaking the €40/share mark, supported by its valuable toll road in Toronto and successful US listing. Asset disposals have led to a net cash position, sparking speculation on increased shareholder remuneration, but high expectations may lead to disappointment. Despite potential short-term volatility, Ferrovial's strong asset base and growth prospects suggest continued momentum, with a potential year-end target of €50/share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:FER - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202810,9749221,4212,11411
12/31/202710,3458481,2731,86319
12/31/20269,8857367751,68319
12/31/20259,6278681,2731,926N/A
9/30/20259,4892,1081,0991,697N/A
6/30/20259,3493,3479251,468N/A
3/31/20259,2483,2869031,381N/A
12/31/20249,1483,2258811,293N/A
9/30/20248,9961,8628501,235N/A
6/30/20248,8417368191,176N/A
3/31/20248,6785888391,220N/A
12/31/20238,5153208581,263N/A
9/30/20238,2363026071,191N/A
6/30/20237,9571643561,119N/A
3/31/20237,7541391871,020N/A
12/31/20227,55111317921N/A
9/30/20227,6461,262N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20227,3091,26870643N/A
3/31/20227,312960N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20216,910829375784N/A
9/30/20216,512-261N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20216,730-4847961,062N/A
3/31/20216,284-424N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20206,532-4528731,117N/A
9/30/20206,405100N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20206,3872511,1971,520N/A
3/31/20206,204535N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20196,0544587701,129N/A
9/30/20194,097-18N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20195,639115N/A202N/A
3/31/20195,819170N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20185,736392N/A323N/A
9/30/20181,838249N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20181,794265N/A1,119N/A
3/31/201812,027221N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20175,152371N/A1,280N/A
9/30/201712,255484N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201712,120427N/A1,235N/A
3/31/201711,560291N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201610,758376N/A1,172N/A
9/30/201610,166516N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20169,662642N/A941N/A
3/31/20169,637759N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20159,701720N/A1,130N/A
9/30/20159,546615N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20159,378501N/A1,433N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FER's forecast earnings growth (6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: FER's earnings (6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FER's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: FER's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FER's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FER's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 06:54
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ferrovial N.V. is covered by 31 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
José ArroyasBanco Santander
Nabil AhmedBarclays