Stock Analysis

We Think Astronics (NASDAQ:ATRO) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

NasdaqGS:ATRO
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ:ATRO) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Astronics

How Much Debt Does Astronics Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of April 2023 Astronics had US$172.4m of debt, an increase on US$137.0m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$4.22m, its net debt is less, at about US$168.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ATRO Debt to Equity History July 19th 2023

How Healthy Is Astronics' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Astronics had liabilities of US$146.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$230.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$4.22m as well as receivables valued at US$152.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$220.9m.

Astronics has a market capitalization of US$713.9m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Astronics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Astronics wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 26%, to US$575m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Astronics managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$27m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$56m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Astronics (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Astronics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.