Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 20.8% and 28.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 18.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 31.5% in 3 years.

Key information

20.8%

Earnings growth rate

18.6%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	10.7%
Revenue growth rate	28.9%
Future return on equity	31.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 Feb 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OTCPK:TKGB.F - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (TRY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	365,589	142,523	N/A	N/A	1
12/31/2025	272,876	134,121	N/A	N/A	2
12/31/2024	141,317	72,897	N/A	N/A	1
12/31/2023	160,159	86,375	-460,759	-455,644	N/A
9/30/2023	146,984	76,933	-375,712	-371,508	N/A
6/30/2023	131,797	70,785	-423,914	-420,173	N/A
3/31/2023	119,405	65,436	-280,599	-277,266	N/A
12/31/2022	106,963	58,285	-276,288	-274,158	N/A
9/30/2022	86,177	42,610	-348,210	-345,876	N/A
6/30/2022	64,828	28,890	-278,060	-275,969	N/A
3/31/2022	50,431	19,017	-229,841	-228,495	N/A
12/31/2021	40,586	13,467	-191,672	-190,386	N/A
9/30/2021	29,386	10,899	-72,521	-70,865	N/A
6/30/2021	27,002	9,022	-87,797	-85,675	N/A
3/31/2021	25,208	7,659	-64,604	-62,631	N/A
12/31/2020	23,459	6,656	-79,764	-77,862	N/A
9/30/2020	23,666	6,410	-88,887	-87,921	N/A
6/30/2020	20,369	5,832	-40,580	-40,028	N/A
3/31/2020	19,114	6,091	-33,759	-33,168	N/A
12/31/2019	18,148	6,165	-20,147	-19,540	N/A
9/30/2019	18,948	5,983	44,286	45,568	N/A
6/30/2019	19,644	6,369	-6,467	-4,985	N/A
3/31/2019	19,422	6,372	-27,409	-25,609	N/A
12/31/2018	19,094	6,642	-29,033	-27,239	N/A
9/30/2018	17,467	6,907	-82,717	-81,838	N/A
6/30/2018	17,399	7,160	-48,928	-48,168	N/A
3/31/2018	16,534	6,803	-39,934	-39,101	N/A
12/31/2017	15,961	6,332	-27,552	-26,733	N/A
9/30/2017	16,306	6,220	N/A	-26,201	N/A
6/30/2017	14,687	5,596	N/A	-23,263	N/A
3/31/2017	14,496	5,595	N/A	-26,744	N/A
12/31/2016	13,518	5,105	N/A	-20,237	N/A
9/30/2016	12,853	4,856	N/A	-6,398	N/A
6/30/2016	12,102	4,162	N/A	-20,889	N/A
3/31/2016	11,471	3,751	N/A	-9,977	N/A
12/31/2015	11,236	3,581	N/A	-20,074	N/A
9/30/2015	10,835	3,443	N/A	-30,034	N/A
6/30/2015	10,900	3,795	N/A	-21,854	N/A
3/31/2015	10,504	3,635	N/A	-21,313	N/A
12/31/2014	10,154	3,647	N/A	-12,227	N/A
9/30/2014	9,433	3,162	N/A	-2,240	N/A
6/30/2014	8,908	2,904	N/A	-7,917	N/A
3/31/2014	8,815	3,014	N/A	-13,936	N/A
12/31/2013	9,162	3,314	N/A	-21,132	N/A
9/30/2013	9,470	3,716	N/A	-24,224	N/A
6/30/2013	9,438	3,829	N/A	-23,213	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TKGB.F's forecast earnings growth (20.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: TKGB.F's earnings (20.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TKGB.F's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TKGB.F's revenue (28.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TKGB.F's revenue (28.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TKGB.F's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (31.5%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/04/07 11:30
End of Day Share Price	2024/01/09 00:00
Earnings	2023/12/31
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is covered by 41 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
null null	Ata Invest
Cristina Marzea	Barclays
Cagdas Dogan	BNP Paribas Securities (Asia)