National Australia Bank Limited

OTCPK:NAUB.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$68.5b

National Australia Bank Valuation

Is NAUB.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NAUB.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NAUB.F ($23.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($24.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NAUB.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NAUB.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NAUB.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio15.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NAUB.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NAUB.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
PNC PNC Financial Services Group
13.1x9.6%US$62.2b
USB U.S. Bancorp
13.7x12.1%US$63.9b
C Citigroup
17.8x23.6%US$117.9b
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp
11.7x5.4%US$25.2b
NAUB.F National Australia Bank
14.1x0.9%US$105.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NAUB.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NAUB.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NAUB.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the US Banks industry average (9.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NAUB.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NAUB.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NAUB.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NAUB.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$20.19
0%
8.9%US$22.22US$16.78n/a14
Apr ’25US$22.70
US$20.50
-9.7%
9.1%US$22.58US$17.05n/a14
Mar ’25US$22.21
US$20.00
-10.0%
9.4%US$22.35US$16.88n/a14
Feb ’25US$21.29
US$19.29
-9.4%
7.7%US$21.03US$16.92n/a14
Jan ’25US$20.79
US$18.71
-10.0%
6.7%US$20.69US$16.91n/a14
Dec ’24n/a
US$18.77
0%
6.9%US$20.81US$17.01n/a14
Nov ’24US$17.90
US$18.29
+2.2%
5.9%US$19.96US$16.47n/a14
Oct ’24US$18.34
US$18.39
+0.2%
6.4%US$20.15US$15.99n/a14
Sep ’24US$18.16
US$18.32
+0.9%
6.4%US$20.20US$16.03n/a15
Aug ’24US$18.90
US$18.66
-1.3%
8.3%US$21.20US$15.48n/a15
Jul ’24n/a
US$18.47
0%
8.4%US$20.98US$15.32n/a15
Jun ’24US$16.76
US$18.20
+8.6%
8.3%US$20.60US$15.04n/a15
May ’24US$18.79
US$19.72
+5.0%
10.2%US$23.09US$15.17n/a15
Apr ’24n/a
US$20.51
0%
11.0%US$23.77US$15.44US$22.7015
Mar ’24n/a
US$21.67
0%
9.2%US$24.37US$15.82US$22.2115
Feb ’24n/a
US$22.64
0%
8.6%US$25.29US$17.05US$21.2915
Jan ’24n/a
US$21.45
0%
8.3%US$23.86US$16.17US$20.7915
Dec ’23US$20.73
US$21.45
+3.5%
8.3%US$23.86US$16.17n/a15
Nov ’23US$20.46
US$20.39
-0.3%
5.2%US$22.24US$18.53US$17.9015
Oct ’23US$19.05
US$20.58
+8.0%
6.1%US$22.60US$18.33US$18.3416
Sep ’23n/a
US$22.03
0%
6.9%US$24.10US$18.93US$18.1616
Aug ’23US$21.75
US$22.15
+1.8%
7.8%US$24.24US$18.69US$18.9016
Jul ’23US$19.23
US$21.80
+13.4%
8.2%US$24.07US$18.29n/a16
Jun ’23US$23.03
US$23.10
+0.3%
5.8%US$24.33US$19.59US$16.7617
May ’23n/a
US$22.91
0%
6.4%US$25.01US$19.78US$18.7917
Apr ’23n/a
US$23.92
0%
6.1%US$26.60US$21.04n/a17

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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