Laurentian Bank of Canada

OTCPK:LRCD.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$921.9m

Laurentian Bank of Canada Valuation

Is LRCD.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LRCD.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LRCD.F ($20.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($37.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LRCD.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LRCD.F?

Key metric: As LRCD.F is an unprofitable bank we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for LRCD.F. This is calculated by dividing LRCD.F's market cap by their current book value.
What is LRCD.F's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.5x
BookCA$2.67b
Market CapCA$1.29b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does LRCD.F's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for LRCD.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
NTB Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son
1.6x-7.1%US$1.7b
FNBT FineMark Holdings
0.9xn/aUS$330.1m
INTR Inter & Co
1.6x36.0%US$2.5b
OAKC Oakworth Capital
1.2xn/aUS$152.2m
LRCD.F Laurentian Bank of Canada
0.5x100.3%US$1.3b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: LRCD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does LRCD.F's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.002xn/aUS$27.98m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.0003xn/aUS$2.18m
BKES.F Banco Espírito Santo
n/an/aUS$56.01k
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
n/an/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PB range
LRCD.F 0.5xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies128PB00.61.21.82.43+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: LRCD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.5x) compared to the US Banks industry average (1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LRCD.F's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LRCD.F PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LRCD.F's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LRCD.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$20.60
US$19.79
-4.0%
5.9%US$21.46US$17.88n/a9
Nov ’25US$19.11
US$19.06
-0.3%
6.1%US$20.78US$16.48n/a10
Oct ’25US$20.15
US$19.38
-3.8%
5.4%US$20.64US$16.95n/a10
Sep ’25US$19.17
US$19.44
+1.4%
4.5%US$20.78US$17.81n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
US$19.45
0%
9.6%US$24.04US$17.48n/a10
Jul ’25US$19.46
US$19.45
-0.02%
9.6%US$24.04US$17.48n/a10
Jun ’25US$18.29
US$20.32
+11.1%
9.0%US$24.11US$18.99n/a11
May ’25US$19.00
US$20.13
+5.9%
10.1%US$24.27US$17.65n/a11
Apr ’25US$21.00
US$20.13
-4.2%
10.1%US$24.27US$17.65n/a11
Mar ’25US$20.16
US$20.25
+0.5%
10.0%US$24.34US$17.70n/a11
Feb ’25US$19.65
US$21.94
+11.7%
7.9%US$24.71US$19.47n/a10
Jan ’25US$20.96
US$21.56
+2.8%
8.9%US$24.68US$19.45n/a11
Dec ’24US$18.75
US$23.11
+23.3%
14.2%US$31.54US$19.80n/a10
Nov ’24US$18.31
US$26.04
+42.2%
11.5%US$31.59US$19.83US$19.1111
Oct ’24US$22.45
US$27.24
+21.3%
11.0%US$33.13US$23.56US$20.1511
Sep ’24US$26.66
US$30.48
+14.3%
11.2%US$39.70US$26.47US$19.1713
Aug ’24US$29.88
US$32.80
+9.8%
17.7%US$45.76US$25.93n/a13
Jul ’24US$25.02
US$28.86
+15.4%
14.8%US$40.97US$24.58US$19.4612
Jun ’24US$22.25
US$28.57
+28.4%
15.1%US$40.72US$23.69US$18.2912
May ’24US$23.35
US$29.54
+26.5%
13.6%US$40.45US$24.27US$19.0012
Apr ’24US$23.48
US$29.54
+25.8%
13.6%US$40.45US$24.27US$21.0012
Mar ’24US$25.20
US$29.54
+17.2%
13.6%US$40.45US$24.27US$20.1612
Feb ’24US$26.71
US$29.56
+10.7%
14.1%US$40.39US$24.24US$19.6512
Jan ’24US$23.86
US$29.56
+23.9%
14.1%US$40.39US$24.24US$20.9612
Dec ’23US$24.35
US$30.45
+25.1%
13.5%US$39.63US$24.67US$18.7511
Nov ’23n/a
US$33.39
0%
10.3%US$40.81US$30.03US$18.3111

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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