China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd.

OTCPK:CIHK.Y Stock Report

Market Cap: US$127.8b

China Merchants Bank Valuation

Is CIHK.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CIHK.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CIHK.Y ($22.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($57.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CIHK.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CIHK.Y?

Key metric: As CIHK.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CIHK.Y. This is calculated by dividing CIHK.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CIHK.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.7x
EarningsCN¥141.34b
Market CapCN¥925.20b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CIHK.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CIHK.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
C Citigroup
19.6x30.4%US$130.3b
USB U.S. Bancorp
15.7x11.6%US$79.2b
PNC PNC Financial Services Group
17.3x12.9%US$80.9b
WFC Wells Fargo
14.7x3.7%US$245.0b
CIHK.Y China Merchants Bank
6.7x6.7%US$925.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CIHK.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CIHK.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
CIHK.Y 6.7xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies75PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CIHK.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CIHK.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CIHK.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.7x
Fair PE Ratio18x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CIHK.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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