BNP Paribas SA

OTCPK:BNPQ.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$71.4b

BNP Paribas Valuation

Is BNPQ.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BNPQ.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BNPQ.F ($64.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($162.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BNPQ.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BNPQ.F?

Key metric: As BNPQ.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BNPQ.F. This is calculated by dividing BNPQ.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BNPQ.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.6x
Earnings€10.30b
Market Cap€67.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BNPQ.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BNPQ.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
USB U.S. Bancorp
15.3x11.6%US$78.5b
PNC PNC Financial Services Group
17.4x12.9%US$82.5b
C Citigroup
19.4x30.6%US$128.9b
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp
15.3x8.1%US$31.7b
BNPQ.F BNP Paribas
6.6x7.1%US$67.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BNPQ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BNPQ.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
BNPQ.F 6.6xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies80PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BNPQ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BNPQ.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BNPQ.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.6x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BNPQ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BNPQ.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$64.30
US$85.77
+33.4%
8.6%US$102.89US$69.99n/a19
Nov ’25US$68.40
US$87.94
+28.6%
8.5%US$104.42US$71.02n/a19
Oct ’25US$67.56
US$89.83
+33.0%
7.8%US$106.52US$75.86n/a20
Sep ’25US$69.10
US$89.46
+29.5%
7.7%US$104.79US$74.63n/a20
Aug ’25US$66.20
US$88.13
+33.1%
8.0%US$103.49US$73.70n/a20
Jul ’25US$65.43
US$87.23
+33.3%
7.9%US$102.41US$71.99n/a19
Jun ’25US$73.48
US$87.68
+19.3%
6.9%US$97.20US$72.58n/a19
May ’25US$72.12
US$83.90
+16.3%
8.3%US$96.23US$71.85n/a19
Apr ’25US$71.00
US$83.66
+17.8%
9.7%US$97.43US$62.47n/a19
Mar ’25US$60.85
US$82.20
+35.1%
9.9%US$97.39US$62.44n/a20
Feb ’25US$66.20
US$84.42
+27.5%
7.3%US$97.83US$75.22n/a20
Jan ’25US$69.80
US$85.08
+21.9%
7.0%US$98.43US$76.55n/a20
Dec ’24US$61.63
US$84.29
+36.8%
6.8%US$97.88US$76.13n/a20
Nov ’24US$58.41
US$82.57
+41.4%
6.7%US$95.55US$74.32US$68.4020
Oct ’24US$63.58
US$82.00
+29.0%
8.0%US$97.70US$73.30US$67.5620
Sep ’24US$65.65
US$84.02
+28.0%
8.2%US$101.03US$72.79US$69.1022
Aug ’24US$64.50
US$84.65
+31.2%
8.4%US$102.14US$73.59US$66.2022
Jul ’24US$62.38
US$83.35
+33.6%
7.8%US$99.99US$72.82US$65.4321
Jun ’24US$58.28
US$82.15
+41.0%
8.4%US$98.70US$68.04US$73.4821
May ’24US$64.94
US$83.47
+28.5%
9.3%US$100.41US$69.98US$72.1220
Apr ’24US$59.80
US$81.74
+36.7%
8.6%US$95.98US$69.17US$71.0021
Mar ’24US$68.00
US$78.50
+15.4%
7.8%US$91.41US$67.10US$60.8520
Feb ’24US$69.59
US$76.45
+9.9%
11.3%US$93.72US$59.66US$66.2020
Jan ’24US$57.49
US$72.25
+25.7%
9.1%US$88.10US$58.38US$69.8019
Dec ’23US$55.48
US$69.95
+26.1%
8.6%US$85.76US$56.83US$61.6319
Nov ’23US$46.76
US$65.72
+40.5%
9.3%US$81.73US$54.57US$58.4119

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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