Western Alliance Bancorporation

NYSE:WAL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.7b

Western Alliance Bancorporation Valuation

Is WAL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WAL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WAL ($89.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($168.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WAL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WAL?

Key metric: As WAL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WAL. This is calculated by dividing WAL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WAL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.8x
EarningsUS$705.90m
Market CapUS$9.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WAL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WAL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers
17.1x1.4%US$8.8b
PNFP Pinnacle Financial Partners
23x23.6%US$9.4b
WTFC Wintrust Financial
14.4x6.7%US$8.7b
WBS Webster Financial
13.6x15.2%US$10.3b
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation
13.8x22.7%US$9.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (17x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WAL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
WAL 13.8xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies75PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WAL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WAL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WAL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WAL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$89.17
US$100.14
+12.3%
3.7%US$107.00US$92.00n/a14
Nov ’25US$83.31
US$99.40
+19.3%
3.7%US$105.00US$92.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$83.75
US$95.00
+13.4%
7.7%US$110.00US$83.00n/a15
Sep ’25US$81.68
US$91.06
+11.5%
5.0%US$100.00US$83.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$76.31
US$91.06
+19.3%
5.0%US$100.00US$83.00n/a16
Jul ’25US$62.60
US$75.35
+20.4%
7.2%US$86.00US$62.00n/a17
Jun ’25US$63.03
US$75.41
+19.6%
7.2%US$86.00US$62.00n/a17
May ’25US$58.77
US$75.47
+28.4%
7.2%US$86.00US$62.00n/a17
Apr ’25US$62.46
US$79.69
+27.6%
8.4%US$91.00US$62.00n/a16
Mar ’25US$56.40
US$78.73
+39.6%
7.4%US$85.00US$62.00n/a15
Feb ’25US$59.12
US$79.13
+33.9%
7.2%US$85.00US$62.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$65.79
US$65.46
-0.5%
18.9%US$85.00US$41.00n/a16
Dec ’24US$54.86
US$57.71
+5.2%
10.5%US$64.00US$41.00n/a16
Nov ’24US$42.39
US$57.34
+35.3%
12.9%US$65.00US$39.40US$83.3116
Oct ’24US$45.97
US$57.78
+25.7%
13.3%US$66.00US$39.40US$83.7516
Sep ’24US$51.12
US$58.71
+14.9%
13.3%US$66.00US$39.40US$81.6816
Aug ’24US$50.79
US$57.96
+14.1%
14.3%US$66.00US$39.40US$76.3115
Jul ’24US$36.47
US$54.36
+49.1%
17.9%US$71.00US$39.40US$62.6015
Jun ’24US$34.25
US$56.11
+63.8%
18.9%US$71.00US$32.00US$63.0314
May ’24US$36.44
US$56.30
+54.5%
17.5%US$71.00US$32.00US$58.7715
Apr ’24US$35.54
US$69.07
+94.3%
23.8%US$96.00US$38.00US$62.4614
Mar ’24US$75.16
US$86.17
+14.6%
6.7%US$96.00US$75.00US$56.4012
Feb ’24US$76.79
US$85.33
+11.1%
8.4%US$96.00US$70.00US$59.1212
Jan ’24US$59.56
US$84.25
+41.5%
11.9%US$100.00US$65.00US$65.7912
Dec ’23US$67.26
US$87.58
+30.2%
10.3%US$100.00US$70.00US$54.8612
Nov ’23US$68.23
US$87.58
+28.4%
10.3%US$100.00US$70.00US$42.3912

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

National Bank of Greece

€6.4b

Provides financial products and services primarily in Greece, Cyprus, North Macedonia, Romania, Bulgaria, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom.

NBGI.F

€7.60

7D

0.003%

1Y

12.4%

Intesa Sanpaolo

€65.7b

Provides various financial products and services primarily in Italy.

IITS.F

€3.98

7D

0.7%

1Y

42.0%

Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero)

Rp180.7t

Provides various banking products and services in Indonesia, New York, Europe, and Asia.

PBNN.F

Rp0.26

7D

-2.9%

1Y

-18.1%