See our latest analysis for Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son.
The steady climb in Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son’s share price this year, now at $45.77, points to building momentum as investors respond to improving sentiment and a robust 25% total shareholder return over the last twelve months. With the five-year total return nearing 90%, the stock’s recent surge is reinforcing its longer-term outperformance and attracting renewed interest from market watchers.
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With solid recent gains and Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son trading about 13% below analyst targets, the key question is whether investors are missing hidden value or if the stock’s future growth is fully reflected in the price.
Most Popular Narrative: 11% Undervalued
Compared to the most cited narrative’s fair value estimate of $51.5, Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son’s last close of $45.77 could offer upside, provided future earnings and revenue play out as expected by consensus analysts. This sets the stage for a closer look at what is fueling the target, beyond just headline growth figures.
Continued expansion and tailored offerings in high-growth international wealth management and private trust sectors (such as the Channel Islands, Bahamas, Switzerland, and Singapore) position Butterfield to benefit from the ongoing increase in global wealth among high-net-worth clients, supporting fee-based revenue growth and higher net margins. Butterfield's strong reputation as a market leader in regulated offshore banking jurisdictions (such as Bermuda and the Cayman Islands), combined with heightened global regulatory scrutiny, is likely to attract high-quality clients seeking transparency and compliance, contributing to deposit growth and a more stable revenue base.
The forecast behind this valuation hides one key detail: future profitability may depend on exactly how fast earnings decline and whether income sources diversify as hoped. Curious to see which financial moving pieces drive the target price? Only the full narrative reveals the quantitative specifics, so do not miss the details that could flip the story.
Result: Fair Value of $51.5 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, instability in large deposits and pressure on net interest margins could quickly alter this positive outlook and challenge earnings resilience in the period ahead.
Find out about the key risks to this Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son narrative.
Build Your Own Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Narrative
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A great starting point for your Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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