Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBI) Shares Five Years Ago You'd Have Earned 65% Returns

NasdaqGS:TCBI
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The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. But Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:TCBI) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 65% over five years, which is below the market return. Over the last twelve months the stock price has risen a very respectable 16%.

View our latest analysis for Texas Capital Bancshares

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Texas Capital Bancshares' earnings per share are down 14% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

On the other hand, Texas Capital Bancshares' revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 11% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:TCBI Earnings and Revenue Growth January 12th 2021

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. If you are thinking of buying or selling Texas Capital Bancshares stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

Texas Capital Bancshares shareholders gained a total return of 16% during the year. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 11% over half a decade This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Texas Capital Bancshares is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Texas Capital Bancshares might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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