Volkswagen Valuation

Is VLKP.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VLKP.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VLKP.F ($84.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($376.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VLKP.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VLKP.F?

Key metric: As VLKP.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VLKP.F. This is calculated by dividing VLKP.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VLKP.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.3x
Earnings€12.26b
Market Cap€41.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VLKP.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VLKP.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.5x
F Ford Motor
12.5x19.7%US$44.1b
GM General Motors
5.6x-10.2%US$61.0b
RACE Ferrari
51.2x9.4%US$77.3b
LI Li Auto
16.6x24.7%US$23.3b
VLKP.F Volkswagen
3.3x9.6%US$41.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VLKP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.3x) compared to the peer average (21.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VLKP.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VLKP.F 3.3xIndustry Avg. 15.9xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VLKP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.3x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VLKP.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VLKP.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.3x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VLKP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VLKP.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$84.84
US$122.82
+44.8%
18.9%US$189.44US$88.16n/a21
Nov ’25US$96.32
US$127.43
+32.3%
18.3%US$195.60US$91.03n/a21
Oct ’25US$103.00
US$138.83
+34.8%
20.1%US$205.99US$93.53n/a21
Sep ’25US$109.00
US$145.03
+33.1%
17.6%US$204.47US$107.21n/a21
Aug ’25US$110.69
US$146.99
+32.8%
17.2%US$199.63US$107.91n/a21
Jul ’25US$116.99
US$152.50
+30.4%
16.5%US$199.12US$107.63n/a21
Jun ’25US$121.10
US$153.93
+27.1%
16.7%US$200.91US$108.60n/a21
May ’25US$126.65
US$152.51
+20.4%
15.8%US$197.80US$106.92n/a21
Apr ’25US$131.59
US$153.47
+16.6%
16.0%US$198.71US$107.41n/a21
Mar ’25US$129.61
US$151.96
+17.2%
15.6%US$199.42US$107.79n/a22
Feb ’25US$127.83
US$150.53
+17.8%
15.8%US$200.52US$108.39n/a21
Jan ’25US$123.00
US$152.82
+24.2%
15.9%US$206.70US$108.79n/a20
Dec ’24US$114.68
US$151.83
+32.4%
17.2%US$208.47US$109.72n/a20
Nov ’24US$106.50
US$150.04
+40.9%
17.1%US$201.08US$105.83US$96.3220
Oct ’24US$116.25
US$168.54
+45.0%
31.3%US$366.23US$106.46US$103.0021
Sep ’24US$116.00
US$171.36
+47.7%
30.9%US$370.57US$107.72US$109.0021
Aug ’24US$130.17
US$178.17
+36.9%
28.9%US$378.27US$126.46US$110.6921
Jul ’24US$132.99
US$178.32
+34.1%
27.3%US$361.60US$123.76US$116.9921
Jun ’24US$126.00
US$180.21
+43.0%
28.1%US$359.86US$123.17US$121.1021
May ’24US$138.00
US$189.51
+37.3%
28.2%US$370.74US$126.89US$126.6522
Apr ’24US$135.75
US$185.04
+36.3%
29.2%US$362.66US$120.56US$131.5923
Mar ’24US$136.06
US$186.41
+37.0%
26.9%US$316.69US$119.91US$129.6122
Feb ’24US$139.17
US$190.86
+37.1%
26.8%US$324.07US$122.71US$127.8322
Jan ’24US$123.32
US$193.10
+56.6%
27.6%US$313.13US$118.56US$123.0022
Dec ’23US$146.53
US$193.79
+32.3%
27.0%US$305.57US$115.70US$114.6821
Nov ’23US$128.33
US$192.44
+50.0%
27.2%US$293.94US$111.30US$106.5020

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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