Mazda Motor Corporation

OTCPK:MZDA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.0b

Mazda Motor Valuation

Is MZDA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MZDA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MZDA.F ($6.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($18.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MZDA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MZDA.F?

Key metric: As MZDA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MZDA.F. This is calculated by dividing MZDA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MZDA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.5x
EarningsJP¥134.90b
Market CapJP¥604.51b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MZDA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MZDA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.3x
THO THOR Industries
22.2x17.9%US$5.9b
WGO Winnebago Industries
129.9x33.9%US$1.7b
F Ford Motor
12.5x19.7%US$44.1b
LI Li Auto
16.6x24.7%US$23.3b
MZDA.F Mazda Motor
4.5x8.9%US$604.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MZDA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the peer average (45.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MZDA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MZDA.F 4.5xIndustry Avg. 15.9xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MZDA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MZDA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MZDA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MZDA.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MZDA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.02
US$9.51
+58.0%
25.6%US$16.36US$6.54n/a14
Nov ’25US$6.80
US$10.07
+48.0%
28.9%US$16.46US$6.59n/a14
Oct ’25US$7.65
US$10.88
+42.2%
27.9%US$17.58US$7.03n/a15
Sep ’25US$8.50
US$11.51
+35.4%
26.6%US$17.10US$6.84n/a14
Aug ’25US$8.61
US$12.12
+40.7%
18.4%US$16.38US$9.00n/a14
Jul ’25US$9.82
US$11.88
+21.0%
17.4%US$15.85US$8.70n/a14
Jun ’25US$10.20
US$12.48
+22.3%
15.1%US$16.17US$10.15n/a14
May ’25US$11.32
US$12.57
+11.1%
13.4%US$15.56US$10.37n/a14
Apr ’25US$11.47
US$12.63
+10.1%
14.4%US$15.86US$10.57n/a14
Mar ’25US$11.34
US$12.41
+9.4%
16.7%US$16.01US$9.01n/a15
Feb ’25US$12.00
US$12.49
+4.1%
17.6%US$17.88US$9.28n/a15
Jan ’25US$10.71
US$12.66
+18.2%
17.5%US$18.09US$9.39n/a15
Dec ’24US$10.44
US$12.13
+16.2%
18.3%US$17.54US$9.11n/a15
Nov ’24US$9.86
US$11.46
+16.2%
17.9%US$15.68US$9.01US$6.8015
Oct ’24US$11.54
US$10.99
-4.7%
15.1%US$14.74US$9.05US$7.6515
Sep ’24US$10.50
US$10.87
+3.5%
16.5%US$15.12US$8.94US$8.5015
Aug ’24US$9.94
US$10.54
+6.1%
17.5%US$15.52US$8.46US$8.6115
Jul ’24US$9.63
US$9.93
+3.2%
19.0%US$15.28US$8.33US$9.8215
Jun ’24US$8.90
US$9.97
+12.0%
19.1%US$15.79US$8.25US$10.2015
May ’24US$9.40
US$9.38
-0.3%
11.6%US$11.91US$7.82US$11.3214
Apr ’24US$9.37
US$9.54
+1.8%
10.3%US$11.40US$7.98US$11.4714
Mar ’24US$9.20
US$8.99
-2.3%
12.4%US$11.01US$7.56US$11.3413
Feb ’24US$7.96
US$9.35
+17.4%
12.6%US$11.55US$7.93US$12.0013
Jan ’24US$7.50
US$9.68
+29.1%
11.2%US$11.43US$7.85US$10.7114
Dec ’23US$8.11
US$9.64
+18.9%
10.6%US$11.16US$7.61US$10.4415
Nov ’23US$6.60
US$8.59
+30.2%
12.4%US$10.82US$6.96US$9.8616

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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