Geely Automobile Holdings Limited

OTCPK:GELY.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$25.6b

Geely Automobile Holdings Valuation

Is GELY.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GELY.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$5.2
Fair Value
52.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
28
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: GELY.F ($2.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($5.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GELY.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GELY.F?

Key metric: As GELY.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GELY.F. This is calculated by dividing GELY.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GELY.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.1x
EarningsCN¥15.06b
Market CapCN¥182.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GELY.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GELY.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.6x
LI Li Auto
21.9x24.96%US$24.5b
F Ford Motor
14.8x23.34%US$47.4b
GM General Motors
8.2x8.99%US$54.5b
THO THOR Industries
21.3x15.96%US$5.5b
GELY.F Geely Automobile Holdings
12.1x14.32%US$199.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GELY.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (16.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GELY.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GELY.F 12.1xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies21PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GELY.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GELY.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GELY.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.1x
Fair PE Ratio19.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GELY.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GELY.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.50
US$3.37
+34.62%
15.47%US$5.40US$2.58n/a28
Oct ’26US$2.50
US$3.37
+34.64%
15.47%US$5.40US$2.58n/a28
Sep ’26US$2.55
US$3.37
+32.04%
15.93%US$5.40US$2.57n/a26
Aug ’26US$2.27
US$3.16
+39.62%
16.01%US$4.44US$1.91n/a24
Jul ’26US$2.11
US$3.08
+46.06%
13.59%US$3.99US$1.92n/a25
Jun ’26US$2.29
US$3.04
+32.83%
14.62%US$3.97US$1.91n/a26
May ’26US$2.10
US$2.88
+37.11%
13.66%US$3.71US$1.88n/a27
Apr ’26US$2.14
US$2.82
+31.84%
14.75%US$3.72US$1.79n/a28
Mar ’26US$2.29
US$2.53
+10.46%
16.82%US$3.47US$1.43n/a28
Feb ’26US$1.85
US$2.34
+26.55%
16.42%US$3.22US$1.43n/a27
Jan ’26US$1.89
US$2.26
+19.43%
16.51%US$2.92US$1.41n/a27
Dec ’25US$1.77
US$2.22
+25.85%
15.97%US$2.94US$1.42n/a26
Nov ’25US$1.76
US$1.91
+8.67%
19.86%US$2.76US$1.40n/a26
Oct ’25US$1.57
US$1.72
+9.83%
15.27%US$2.51US$1.17US$2.5026
Sep ’25US$1.11
US$1.70
+53.07%
18.61%US$2.64US$1.16US$2.5527
Aug ’25US$1.03
US$1.72
+67.49%
17.25%US$2.60US$1.29US$2.2728
Jul ’25US$1.13
US$1.71
+51.60%
16.99%US$2.59US$1.28US$2.1127
Jun ’25US$1.21
US$1.75
+44.32%
16.99%US$2.59US$1.27US$2.2924
May ’25US$1.20
US$1.74
+45.30%
17.09%US$2.60US$1.27US$2.1024
Apr ’25US$1.20
US$1.74
+44.63%
17.65%US$2.60US$1.27US$2.1424
Mar ’25US$1.10
US$1.71
+55.76%
22.01%US$2.61US$0.77US$2.2923
Feb ’25US$0.94
US$1.72
+84.12%
21.59%US$2.63US$0.83US$1.8523
Jan ’25US$1.12
US$1.82
+62.52%
21.58%US$2.67US$0.84US$1.8921
Dec ’24US$1.06
US$1.79
+69.09%
21.97%US$2.67US$0.83US$1.7722
Nov ’24US$1.11
US$1.75
+57.88%
21.18%US$2.61US$0.82US$1.7624
Oct ’24US$1.17
US$1.75
+49.95%
21.15%US$2.61US$0.82US$1.5724
US$3.33
Fair Value
24.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
28
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/08 23:44
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/08 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited is covered by 71 analysts. 32 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kaixiang WuABCI Securities Company Limited
Yang SongBarclays
James KanBNP Paribas Exane