Dowlais Group plc

OTCPK:DWLA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$932.9m

Dowlais Group Valuation

Is DWLA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DWLA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DWLA.F ($0.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DWLA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DWLA.F?

Key metric: As DWLA.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for DWLA.F. This is calculated by dividing DWLA.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is DWLA.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUK£4.60b
Market CapUK£744.46m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DWLA.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DWLA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
AXL American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings
0.1x-1.6%US$750.2m
DAN Dana
0.1x2.0%US$1.2b
XPEL XPEL
3x13.2%US$1.2b
SMP Standard Motor Products
0.5x2.2%US$698.8m
DWLA.F Dowlais Group
0.2x-0.6%US$744.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DWLA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does DWLA.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x9.4%
DWLA.F Dowlais Group
 0.2x-0.6%US$932.85m
LEA Lear
0.2x2.4%US$5.24b
GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber
0.1x0.4%US$2.65b
DWLA.F 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies16PS01.22.43.64.86+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x29.3%
DWLA.F Dowlais Group
 0.2x81.2%US$932.85m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DWLA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DWLA.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DWLA.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DWLA.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DWLA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$1.05
0%
18.5%US$1.26US$0.73n/a9
Nov ’25US$0.62
US$1.09
+75.0%
17.8%US$1.29US$0.75n/a10
Oct ’25US$0.77
US$1.25
+63.3%
19.8%US$1.67US$0.83n/a10
Sep ’25US$0.85
US$1.21
+42.9%
20.3%US$1.62US$0.80n/a10
Aug ’25US$0.80
US$1.46
+82.9%
23.2%US$2.14US$1.01n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
US$1.46
0%
23.4%US$2.09US$0.99n/a10
Jun ’25US$0.85
US$1.48
+74.4%
22.0%US$2.10US$1.00n/a10
May ’25n/a
US$1.56
0%
23.8%US$2.18US$0.98n/a10
Apr ’25US$1.00
US$1.58
+58.0%
23.6%US$2.21US$1.00n/a10
Mar ’25n/a
US$1.74
0%
27.0%US$2.52US$1.05n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
US$1.81
0%
26.6%US$2.54US$1.05n/a9
Jan ’25US$1.28
US$1.82
+42.4%
25.9%US$2.53US$1.14n/a9
Dec ’24US$1.20
US$1.84
+53.3%
23.0%US$2.49US$1.21n/a9
Nov ’24n/a
US$1.82
0%
23.2%US$2.42US$1.18US$0.629
Oct ’24n/a
US$2.00
0%
22.6%US$2.70US$1.19US$0.779
Sep ’24US$1.44
US$2.10
+46.2%
23.5%US$2.80US$1.24US$0.858
Aug ’24US$0.0011
US$2.16
+196,375.7%
23.3%US$2.88US$1.27US$0.808
Jul ’24US$1.60
US$2.17
+35.3%
18.1%US$2.82US$1.47n/a8
Jun ’24US$1.61
US$2.12
+32.0%
18.8%US$2.74US$1.43US$0.857
May ’24n/a
US$2.13
0%
12.3%US$2.49US$1.79n/a4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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