Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc

OTCPK:AMGD.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings Valuation

Is AMGD.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMGD.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMGD.F ($1.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($5.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMGD.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMGD.F?

Key metric: As AMGD.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AMGD.F. This is calculated by dividing AMGD.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AMGD.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesUK£1.59b
Market CapUK£863.80m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AMGD.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AMGD.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UK
1.1x39.0%US$2.3b
WGO Winnebago Industries
0.5x7.5%US$1.4b
NIO NIO
1.1x23.6%US$9.7b
THO THOR Industries
0.5x6.3%US$5.1b
AMGD.F Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings
0.5x12.3%US$863.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AMGD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AMGD.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Industry?

19 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.0x14.5%
AMGD.F Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings
 0.5x12.3%US$1.08b
GM General Motors
0.3x1.2%US$58.84b
F Ford Motor
0.2x0.5%US$39.82b
AMGD.F 0.5xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies18PS048121620+
19 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.0x12.0%
AMGD.F Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings
 0.5x62.7%US$1.08b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AMGD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the US Auto industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMGD.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMGD.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio1.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AMGD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMGD.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.37
US$2.09
+52.9%
43.6%US$4.62US$1.40n/a10
Dec ’25US$1.43
US$2.08
+45.8%
43.5%US$4.61US$1.46n/a10
Nov ’25US$1.44
US$2.20
+52.6%
45.2%US$4.71US$1.30n/a10
Oct ’25US$1.66
US$3.00
+80.9%
38.4%US$5.11US$1.33n/a10
Sep ’25US$1.77
US$3.24
+83.2%
32.8%US$5.13US$2.04n/a10
Aug ’25US$1.80
US$3.17
+76.3%
32.9%US$5.00US$1.99n/a10
Jul ’25US$1.80
US$3.11
+72.7%
32.6%US$4.89US$1.90n/a10
Jun ’25US$1.85
US$3.14
+69.5%
32.5%US$4.88US$1.90n/a10
May ’25US$1.91
US$3.16
+65.5%
30.3%US$4.81US$1.97n/a10
Apr ’25US$2.18
US$3.52
+61.5%
25.8%US$5.00US$2.29n/a10
Mar ’25US$2.31
US$3.84
+66.2%
33.2%US$6.94US$2.27n/a10
Feb ’25US$2.30
US$4.20
+82.8%
27.2%US$6.99US$2.92n/a10
Jan ’25US$2.83
US$4.32
+52.9%
27.8%US$6.95US$2.90n/a10
Dec ’24US$3.02
US$4.50
+49.2%
25.7%US$6.98US$2.92US$1.4310
Nov ’24US$2.36
US$4.58
+94.2%
22.3%US$6.68US$3.16US$1.4410
Oct ’24US$3.43
US$5.09
+48.5%
18.9%US$6.93US$3.27US$1.6610
Sep ’24US$4.40
US$5.09
+15.7%
18.9%US$6.93US$3.27US$1.7710
Aug ’24US$4.78
US$4.72
-1.4%
22.4%US$7.06US$3.34US$1.8010
Jul ’24US$4.76
US$3.67
-22.9%
19.6%US$5.21US$2.48US$1.8010
Jun ’24US$3.33
US$2.95
-11.3%
23.7%US$3.86US$1.99US$1.8510
May ’24US$2.91
US$2.54
-12.8%
25.1%US$3.74US$1.65US$1.9110
Apr ’24US$2.93
US$2.36
-19.3%
24.9%US$3.70US$1.63US$2.1810
Mar ’24US$2.57
US$1.94
-24.6%
14.1%US$2.40US$1.44US$2.3110
Feb ’24US$1.92
US$2.57
+33.7%
79.8%US$8.66US$1.39US$2.3010
Jan ’24US$1.76
US$3.27
+86.1%
98.3%US$10.11US$1.07US$2.839
Dec ’23US$1.53
US$3.27
+114.0%
98.3%US$10.11US$1.07US$3.029

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 13:01
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc is covered by 20 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Henning CosmanBarclays
Horst SchneiderBofA Global Research
Harald HendrikseCitigroup Inc