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Little Excitement Around Dana Incorporated's (NYSE:DAN) Revenues As Shares Take 28% Pounding
The Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 34% share price drop.
After such a large drop in price, Dana may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Auto Components industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 0.7x and even P/S higher than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Dana
What Does Dana's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Dana's negative revenue growth of late has neither been better nor worse than most other companies. It might be that many expect the company's revenue performance to degrade further, which has repressed the P/S. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. In saying that, existing shareholders may feel hopeful about the share price if the company's revenue continues tracking the industry.
Keen to find out how analysts think Dana's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Dana's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.6%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 19% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 1.7% per annum as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 35% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Dana is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Dana's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Auto Components companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Dana maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Dana that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Dana, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:DAN
Dana
Provides power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for vehicles and machinery in North America, Europe, South America, and the Asia Pacific.