Li Auto Inc.

NasdaqGS:LI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$28.3b

Li Auto Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Li Auto is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23.7% and 17.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 31.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.4% in 3 years.

Key information

23.7%

Earnings growth rate

31.45%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth27.0%
Revenue growth rate17.2%
Future return on equity16.43%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated29 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Investors Appear Satisfied With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) Prospects As Shares Rocket 27%

May 17
Investors Appear Satisfied With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) Prospects As Shares Rocket 27%

Li Auto's Selloff Triggers Excellent Buying Opportunity - Reiterate Buy

Apr 17

Estimating The Fair Value Of Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI)

Mar 30
Estimating The Fair Value Of Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI)

Li Auto Is Improving Safety With Self-Driving Tech

Mar 16

Li Auto: Time To Be Greedy

Mar 04

Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Stocks Shoot Up 39% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

Feb 27
Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Stocks Shoot Up 39% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

At US$26.37, Is It Time To Put Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) On Your Watch List?

Feb 11
At US$26.37, Is It Time To Put Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) On Your Watch List?

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI)

Jan 12
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI)

Li Auto: A Strong Buy Due To MEGA And AI

Jan 09

Li Auto: Consistent Performer And Undervalued

Dec 31

Is Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Trading At A 28% Discount?

Nov 21
Is Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Trading At A 28% Discount?

Li Auto Finally Nears Our Buy Zone, Great 2025 Prospects

Nov 20
author-image

Critical Expansion And AI Innovation Propel Premium NEV Market Growth

Strategic expansion of sales network and charging infrastructure in China is expected to bolster market share and future revenue growth.

Li Auto: H2 2024 May Bring Forth Improved Numbers, Thanks To Government Stimulus

Sep 29

Market Participants Recognise Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) Earnings Pushing Shares 31% Higher

Sep 28
Market Participants Recognise Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) Earnings Pushing Shares 31% Higher

Li Auto: Strong EV Choice, Low Price

Sep 08

Li Auto: From Setback To Comeback (Rating Upgrade)

Aug 29

We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Aug 22
We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Expecting Significant Wealth Creation From Li Stock In The Long Term

Aug 19

Is There An Opportunity With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) 23% Undervaluation?

Jul 29
Is There An Opportunity With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) 23% Undervaluation?

Li Auto: Weakening Financials Encourage Caution

Jul 02

Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Jun 26
Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Li Auto Lost The Price War - More Pain Ahead

Jun 18

Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 27%

Jun 11
Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 27%

Li Auto: Deep Value For EV Investors

May 28

Li Auto's Strategic Pivot: From Setbacks To Solutions

May 16

Li Auto: My Pick For The EV Market Will Likely Survive A Price War

May 08

Li Auto: The Stock Is Dirt Cheap

Apr 22

Buy Li Auto's Dip - Electrification Is Here To Stay

Mar 31

Li Auto Charges Ahead In Fourth Quarter As Slowdown Looms

Feb 27

Why We Are Still Not Convinced With Li Auto

Feb 20

Li Auto: Value Investment Buried In The Chaos

Feb 07

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:LI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027255,12618,63432,58434,13125
12/31/2026220,49314,69829,14234,30039
12/31/2025163,4769,98212,14520,6578
3/31/2025144,7538,0909,84517,575N/A
12/31/2024144,4608,0328,20315,933N/A
9/30/2024141,91810,16716,78224,547N/A
6/30/2024133,72410,17620,95528,029N/A
3/31/2024130,69811,36733,06439,571N/A
12/31/2023123,85111,70444,18650,694N/A
9/30/202399,7696,30332,80638,325N/A
6/30/202374,4321,83917,62223,310N/A
3/31/202354,512-1,0729,53113,327N/A
12/31/202245,287-2,0122,2527,380N/A
9/30/202238,257-1,9741,1746,292N/A
6/30/202236,690-3554,2978,970N/A
3/31/202232,997284,8289,248N/A
12/31/202127,010-3214,8968,340N/A
9/30/202120,536-5094,3166,325N/A
6/30/202115,272-8093,9015,085N/A
3/31/202112,180-9183,2204,129N/A
12/31/20209,457-8062,4653,140N/A
9/30/20205,594-1,982168867N/A
3/31/20201,136-3,034-2,319-1,463N/A
12/31/2019284-3,261-2,747-1,794N/A
9/30/2019N/A-2,702-2,743-1,680N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LI's forecast earnings growth (23.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.9%).

Earnings vs Market: LI's earnings (23.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LI's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: LI's revenue (17.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LI's revenue (17.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: LI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/29 10:31
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/29 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Li Auto Inc. is covered by 62 analysts. 39 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jiong ShaoBarclays
Jia LouBOCI Research Ltd.
Ming-Hsun LeeBofA Global Research