Luminar Technologies, Inc.

NasdaqGS:LAZR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$451.1m

Luminar Technologies Valuation

Is LAZR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LAZR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LAZR ($0.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LAZR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LAZR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LAZR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue12.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-2x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LAZR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LAZR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.6x
HSAI Hesai Group
2.2x27.3%US$592.8m
SLDP Solid Power
11.5x44.7%US$211.2m
CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings
0.1x7.7%US$275.8m
HLLY Holley
0.5x3.3%US$327.6m
LAZR Luminar Technologies
5.8x53.7%US$451.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LAZR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (3.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LAZR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LAZR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.8x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LAZR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LAZR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.8x
Fair PS Ratio0.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LAZR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LAZR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.88
US$2.11
+139.8%
84.1%US$6.00US$0.50n/a7
Nov ’25US$0.79
US$2.11
+165.1%
84.1%US$6.00US$0.50n/a7
Oct ’25US$0.82
US$2.47
+201.1%
77.5%US$6.00US$0.50n/a8
Sep ’25US$1.02
US$3.08
+201.5%
62.1%US$6.00US$0.50n/a10
Aug ’25US$1.51
US$4.61
+205.2%
64.8%US$9.00US$1.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$1.41
US$4.65
+230.1%
63.0%US$9.00US$1.20n/a11
Jun ’25US$1.64
US$4.65
+183.8%
63.0%US$9.00US$1.20n/a11
May ’25US$1.48
US$5.30
+257.8%
57.4%US$11.00US$1.20n/a12
Apr ’25US$2.10
US$5.49
+161.3%
51.8%US$11.00US$1.50n/a12
Mar ’25US$2.33
US$6.74
+189.2%
77.2%US$20.00US$1.50n/a12
Feb ’25US$2.92
US$8.55
+192.8%
71.1%US$20.00US$2.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$3.37
US$9.30
+176.0%
62.4%US$20.00US$3.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$2.46
US$9.28
+277.1%
60.1%US$20.00US$3.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$3.15
US$11.12
+252.9%
45.9%US$20.00US$3.50US$0.7913
Oct ’24US$4.55
US$11.35
+149.4%
43.4%US$20.00US$4.50US$0.8213
Sep ’24US$5.87
US$11.88
+102.3%
40.1%US$20.00US$4.50US$1.0212
Aug ’24US$7.84
US$12.46
+58.9%
39.9%US$20.00US$4.50US$1.5112
Jul ’24US$6.88
US$12.29
+78.7%
41.9%US$20.00US$4.50US$1.4112
Jun ’24US$6.90
US$12.29
+78.1%
41.9%US$20.00US$4.50US$1.6412
May ’24US$5.86
US$13.29
+126.8%
41.4%US$24.00US$4.50US$1.4812
Apr ’24US$6.49
US$13.33
+105.4%
40.8%US$24.00US$5.00US$2.1012
Mar ’24US$9.06
US$12.92
+42.6%
40.8%US$24.00US$5.00US$2.3312
Feb ’24US$7.14
US$12.83
+79.7%
40.2%US$24.00US$5.00US$2.9212
Jan ’24US$4.95
US$13.08
+164.3%
38.0%US$24.00US$7.00US$3.3712
Dec ’23US$7.90
US$14.00
+77.2%
47.9%US$30.00US$8.00US$2.4613
Nov ’23US$8.25
US$14.38
+74.4%
46.7%US$30.00US$7.00US$3.1513

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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