Luminar Technologies, Inc.

NasdaqGS:LAZR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.7b

Luminar Technologies Valuation

Is LAZR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LAZR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LAZR's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LAZR's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LAZR?

Key metric: As LAZR barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for LAZR. This is calculated by dividing LAZR's market cap by their current book value.
What is LAZR's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio-22x
Book-US$258.01m
Market CapUS$5.69b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does LAZR's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for LAZR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
HSAI Hesai Group
1.1x71.8%US$574.9m
SLDP Solid Power
0.4x1.6%US$191.2m
HLLY Holley
0.7x37.3%US$311.0m
AXL American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings
1.2x48.6%US$723.1m
LAZR Luminar Technologies
n/a1.3%US$5.7b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: LAZR has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-22x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does LAZR's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EVVL Evil Empire Designs
0.03xn/aUS$14.75k
No more companies available in this PB range
LAZR is unprofitableIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies7PB00.81.62.43.24+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: LAZR has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-22x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (1.1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LAZR's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LAZR PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio-22x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LAZR's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LAZR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$11.39
US$30.00
+163.4%
91.6%US$90.00US$7.50n/a7
Nov ’25US$11.92
US$31.61
+165.1%
84.1%US$90.00US$7.50n/a7
Oct ’25US$12.30
US$37.03
+201.1%
77.5%US$90.00US$7.50n/a8
Sep ’25US$15.30
US$46.12
+201.5%
62.1%US$90.00US$7.50n/a10
Aug ’25US$22.65
US$69.14
+205.2%
64.8%US$135.00US$15.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$21.15
US$69.82
+230.1%
63.0%US$135.00US$18.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$24.60
US$69.82
+183.8%
63.0%US$135.00US$18.00n/a11
May ’25US$22.20
US$79.44
+257.8%
57.4%US$165.00US$18.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$31.50
US$82.31
+161.3%
51.8%US$165.00US$22.50n/a12
Mar ’25US$34.95
US$101.06
+189.2%
77.2%US$300.00US$22.50n/a12
Feb ’25US$43.80
US$128.25
+192.8%
71.1%US$300.00US$30.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$50.55
US$139.50
+176.0%
62.4%US$300.00US$45.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$36.90
US$139.15
+277.1%
60.1%US$300.00US$45.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$47.25
US$166.73
+252.9%
45.9%US$300.00US$52.50US$11.9213
Oct ’24US$68.25
US$170.19
+149.4%
43.4%US$300.00US$67.50US$12.3013
Sep ’24US$88.05
US$178.12
+102.3%
40.1%US$300.00US$67.50US$15.3012
Aug ’24US$117.60
US$186.87
+58.9%
39.9%US$300.00US$67.50US$22.6512
Jul ’24US$103.20
US$184.37
+78.7%
41.9%US$300.00US$67.50US$21.1512
Jun ’24US$103.50
US$184.37
+78.1%
41.9%US$300.00US$67.50US$24.6012
May ’24US$87.90
US$199.37
+126.8%
41.4%US$360.00US$67.50US$22.2012
Apr ’24US$97.35
US$200.00
+105.4%
40.8%US$360.00US$75.00US$31.5012
Mar ’24US$135.90
US$193.75
+42.6%
40.8%US$360.00US$75.00US$34.9512
Feb ’24US$107.10
US$192.50
+79.7%
40.2%US$360.00US$75.00US$43.8012
Jan ’24US$74.25
US$196.25
+164.3%
38.0%US$360.00US$105.00US$50.5512
Dec ’23US$118.50
US$210.00
+77.2%
47.9%US$450.00US$120.00US$36.9013
Nov ’23US$123.75
US$215.77
+74.4%
46.7%US$450.00US$105.00US$47.2513

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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