Canoo Inc.

NasdaqCM:GOEV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.0m

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Canoo Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Canoo's earnings are forecast to decline at 7.7% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 45.8% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 35.7% per annum.

Key information

-7.7%

Earnings growth rate

35.65%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth37.0%
Revenue growth rate45.8%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated06 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Oct 17

Canoo stock surges on order for 9,300 EVs

Canoo (NASDAQ:GOEV) shares gained around 14% premarket on Monday after the mobility technology firm received a binding order from van rental firm Kingbee for 9,300 EVs, with an option to increase to 18,600 vehicles. Kingbee will upfit, wrap and deliver Canoo (GOEV) vehicles as work-ready fleets solutions for enterprise and small & medium sized business customers across the US. Tony Aquila, Chairman & CEO at Canoo, said: "This order is yet another key milestone as we allocate production capacity for the coming years. Canoo's proprietary platform and tophat technology enables Kingbee to adapt their fleet for evolving use cases at a class leading ROI, while allowing their customers to benefit from a vehicle, that is engineered for workers and optimized for ergonomics, with superior visibility, maneuverability and safety."
Seeking Alpha Oct 07

Canoo: Saved From The Brink By Walmart

Summary Canoo's deal with Walmart provides clear revenue visibility at a time when its future looked increasingly bleak. Its dwindling cash balance is set to be boosted by a series of dilutive equity raises. Management has pivoted again to outsourcing production of its Lifestyle Vehicle to a third party as executive departures mount. Canoo's (GOEV) vehicles with their sleek and futuristic look have been described as space-age and a refreshing departure from established design consensus. This helped differentiate Canoo from a rush of EV companies that also went public via SPACs and contributed to investor enthusiasm for its common shares. Canoo However, it has failed to be translated into meaningful sales with the company still pre-revenue and fast burning through its dwindling cash reserves more than 2 years since it went public. Canoo's financial health and operational standing have since taken consecutive hits over the last few months with shares hitting new lows recently. The company has since announced a deal to supply Walmart (WMT) with at least 4,500 of its Lifestyle Delivery vehicles. This represents a transformational change of fortunes and provides clear revenue visibility for fiscal 2023 and beyond. Further, Autonomy, an EV subscription startup, included Canoo in a list of 17 other automakers in a $1.2 billion purchase order. The company has also been selected by the US army to supply its Multi-Purpose Delivery Vehicle for analysis and demonstration. The scope for this to be transformed into a purchase order cements a great turnaround when aggregated with the broader operational momentum the company has garnered over the last few months. Canoo x Walmart The deal with Walmart will provide a material boost for struggling Canoo and would be even more transformational if Walmart activates its option to buy a further 5,500 vehicles for 10,000 in total. Canoo expects to start making deliveries to Walmart from the first quarter of 2023 in a deal that will also see Walmart issued with a warrant to purchase up to an aggregate of 61.1 million shares at an exercise price of $2.15 per share. As part of the agreement, Canoo will not sell any of its vehicles to Amazon (AMZN) as production is also outsourced to an unspecified third-party contractor. This is a change from previous plans to assemble the Lifestyle Vehicle at its Bentonville, Arkansas factory. For Walmart, the Lifestyle Delivery Vehicle will allow for last-mile deliveries and will support its growing eCommerce business with 90% of the U.S. population within 10 miles of its stores. Whilst a significant operational win for Canoo, the management pivot to use a third-party contractor likely puts Bentonville, Arkansas-based Walmart in an awkward position as production being located in Walmart's home state of Arkansas was touted in the company's news release about the deal. The main overhang that remains is whether the company has enough capital to see it through the next few quarters of growth. Indeed, Canoo last reported earnings for its fiscal 2022 second quarter which saw operating expenses come in at $173.5 million, up from $104.3 million in the year-ago quarter. Net loss at $164.4 million was also up from a year-ago figure of $112.6 million. The company ended the quarter with $36.5 million in cash and equivalents which is anemic against cash burn from operations that stood at $117.2 million during the quarter. Hence, the company has started to activate dilutive fundraising options to remain a going concern. The warrant deal with Walmart amounts to more than 20% of all the outstanding shares and should help the company raise enough money to get through to 2023. Further, Canoo has partnered with Yorkville Advisors to sell up to $250 million of its shares.
Seeking Alpha Sep 07

Canoo: Buy This Cheap EV Stock For The Long Term

Summary Canoo is one of my favorite cheap EV stocks to buy under $5 for the long term. The company received a massive 4,500 EV order from Walmart with the option to purchase an additional 5,500 EVs for 10,000 in total. GOEV stock plans to start production in 2023 and looks like a safe buy at these current price levels. Canoo (GOEV) is currently my favorite cheap EV stocks under $5 to buy right now. The company has changed quite a bit over the last several months even though investors are pricing GOEV stock based on its previous cash liquidity concerns. The most notable news is the massive 4,500 EV order coming from Walmart (WMT) that certainly piqued my interest. Another positive sign was a 200,000 share insider buy at an average price of $2.99 from Canoo CEO, Tony Aquila. In this article, I'll cover the most important key points on why I'm bullish on GOEV stock over the long run. Overview Canoo is an EV maker based out of Bentonville, Arkansas that produces lifestyle, last-mile delivery, and pickup truck electric vehicles. Canoo EV Models (Canoo.com) The company isn't currently generating any revenue but plans to start producing EVs in early 2023. Canoo will produce its EVs in Arkansas and Oklahoma. Just like most EV SPACs, Canoo is just getting started and has a lot of potential to disrupt the legacy automotive market. A few months ago, Canoo looked like it was on the verge of bankruptcy until Walmart place a massive EV order that caught everyone's attention. Walmart Order Details On July 11th, 2022, Walmart entered an agreement with Canoo to purchase 4,500 last-mile delivery vans with an option to purchase an additional 5,500 EVs. Canoo Walmart EV (Carpexpert.co.au) Walmart already paid $300 million in advance for the initial EV order to boost Canoo's balance sheet and give the company enough cash to fund production. Also, Canoo issued Walmart a warrant for 61.2 million shares at an exercise price of $2.15 per share. This is a huge bullish sign, and I wouldn't be surprised if Walmart exercised these warrants to own a stake in the company. Amazon owns an $11.5 billion stake in Rivian (RIVN) and it makes sense that Walmart would own a major stake in Canoo to mimic Amazon's Rivian investment. Without the Walmart Order, I highly doubt Canoo would have avoided bankruptcy due to its shaky financial situation. However, I believe Canoo management made a smart move by moving the company headquarters to Bentonville, Arkansas (the same city that Walmart was founded in) to get closer to a key potential customer. This is a huge milestone for not only Canoo but the entire EV industry because Walmart is the largest employer in the United States. The EV movement slowed down a bit due to inflation concerns and a US recession, but major corporations continue laying down the groundwork for the inevitable transition in the future. My Bullish Thesis GOEV shares once traded at $10 after the SPAC IPO closed and now are down 62% over the last year. GOEV data by YCharts Canoo's market cap is around $800 million, making this a small-cap EV stock with lots of potential. The Walmart order and 61.2 million shares via warrants is a major buy signal in my opinion. Walmart already prepaid for its 4,500 EVs, which gives Canoo quick access to $300 million in revenue upfront. The $200 million at-the-market offering also frees up a lot more cash. Capital expenditures were $65.4 million for the first 6 months of 2022. The company only has $33 million on its balance sheet as of Q2 2022, but the Walmart prepayment and at-the-market offering mean Canoo can remain in business at least up until 2024. New partnerships with the US Army and NASA add to Canoo's legitimacy as a future EV leader. However, GOEV stock has been crushed along with the entire EV industry lately. Higher interest rates hurt growth stocks, but I think $2.15 is a solid price floor for GOEV shares. Canoo would be valued at a ~$600 Million market cap at $2.15, which is much closer to its 70 cents book value per share. If Walmart orders the additional 5,550 EVs, then the entire order value will be worth $666 million. That would be more than the entire market cap if GOEV stock falls closer to $2.
Seeking Alpha Aug 21

Canoo: Yet Another SPAC Birthed EV Debacle

Today, we take our first look at Canoo Inc., an EV manufacturing concern that came public via a SPAC in late 2020. Like so many EV names from that 'vintage', the stock has been a disaster to this point for shareholders. Does new insider buying from the company's CEO portend a potential turnaround? An investment analysis follows in the paragraphs below. Every generation laughs at the old fashions, but follows religiously the new. ― Henry David Thoreau Today, we put Canoo Inc. (GOEV) in the spotlight for the first time. This EV related concern came public in December of 2020 as the result of it business combination between Canoo (CNOO) and Hennessy Capital Acquisition Corp. IV (HCAC). Like so many others that took a similar path to being a public company in 2020 and 2021, the result has been an absolute debacle for shareholders to this point. Recently the company's CEO purchased nearly $800,000 worth of shares. A sign of confidence in Canoo's long-term future? An analysis follows below. Seeking Alpha Company Overview Canoo Inc. is based just outside of Los Angeles. The company designs and manufactures electric vehicles for the commercial and consumer markets in the United States. It has a variety of offerings it is working to deliver including lifestyle delivery vehicles, lifestyle vehicles, multi-purpose delivery vehicles, and pickups. The stock currently trades just above $3.50 a share and sports an approximate market capitalization of $1 billion. August Company Presentation The company has spent the past few years ramping up (vehicle design, testing, certification, building manufacturing capability, etc...) to the production stage of Canoo's journey. The company has purposely built flexibility into its manufacturing processes to be able to build a variety of different types of electric vehicles, both now and in the future. August Company Presentation Concurrently, the company has been booking pre-orders and believes it has an approximate $1 billion sales pipeline at this point. The start of production should commence sometime in the fourth quarter of this year. Leadership projects it will be producing at a 20,000 annual vehicle rate by the end of 2023. August Company Presentation In addition, the company has an important partnership with retailing giant Walmart (WMT) with the latter committed to buy 4,500 electric vehicles with the option to purchase up to 10,000 worth within that agreement. This agreement was just signed around six weeks ago. This deal also gave Walmart a warrant to purchase up to an aggregate of 61,160,011 shares at an exercise price of $2.15 per share in GOEV and the company cannot sell vehicles to Amazon (AMZN) as well. The warrant covers over 20% of all the outstanding shares in GOEV currently. Walmart will receive the first vehicles off Canoo's production line when it commences. Second Quarter Results On August 8th, the company posted its second quarter earnings report. Canoo had a GAAP loss of 68 cents a share for Q2. Just after quarter ended, the company signed the contract with Walmart as described above and Canoo has also now completed 90% of their structural crash testing in the quarter and are now moving to the final phase of Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standard certification. August Company Presentation Operating expenses are accelerating as the company moves towards full production mode. Analyst Commentary & Balance Sheet Since second quarter results hit the wires, both H.C. Wainwright ($10 price target) and RF Lafferty ($15 price target) have reissued their Buy ratings on the stock while Roth Capital downgraded its view on Canoo to a Hold. Unfortunately the insider purchase has been swamped by sales by other insiders. A beneficial owner has sold nearly $18 million worth of shares in July and so far in August. Three other officers of the company have disposed with approximately $440,000 worth of stock in aggregate over that time as well. In addition, it appears just over a quarter of the outstanding float of the stock is currently held short. August Company Presentation The company ended the second quarter of this year with just under $35 million of cash and marketable securities after burning through nearly $240 million worth of cash during the first half of 2022. The company also had access of up to $250 million, including approximately $220 million of unused capacity on its SEPA facility at that time. Canoo recently announced that it had signed a direct stock purchase deal to raise up to $200 million with Evercore Group L.L.C. and H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC. The company access to funding to start up production is outlined below. August Company Presentation Verdict The three analysts that cover this stock and have projections have wide ranges to their revenue and earnings expectations for the company in FY2022 and FY2023. This fiscal year, they have the company losing $1.40 to $2.42 a share on sales of anywhere between $1 million and $180 million. Next year they see continued losses in the $1.48 to $1.87 a share range as revenues soar to between $342 million to $605 million.
Seeking Alpha Aug 09

EV stock Canoo tumbles after second quarter's results

Canoo (NASDAQ:GOEV) shares fell 16% on Tuesday after the company released its second quarter's results. The electric vehicle maker has reported net loss of $164.4M for the quarter compared to the loss of $112.6M in a year-ago quarter. GAAP EPS stood at -$0.68. Adjusted EBITDA Loss expanded to $149.8M from $76.7M in Q2 2021. CEO Tony Aquila commented "We have more than $1 billion in our sales pipeline which includes our recently announced commercial order. We have successfully completed 90% of our structural crash testing in the quarter and are now moving to the final phase of Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standard certification." The company has signed a definitive deal with Walmart where it agrees to purchase 4,500 units, beginning with the lifestyle delivery vehicle with an option to purchase up to 10,000 units. Net cash used in operating activities totaled $237.6M for the six months ended June 30, 2022, compared to $108.8M for the six months ended June 30, 2021. The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $33.80M. "We are advancing to Start of Production in Q4 and, our product resonates with the most discerning customers," added Aquila. Second-Half Outlook: Canoo expects operating expenses to range between $200-$245M; Capital expenditure is forecasted to range within $100-$125M. On July 27, 2022, Seeking Alpha Quant system flagged warning at Sell rating, stating GOEV is at the high risk of performing badly as it has inferior profitability and is overpriced when compared to other consumer discretionary stocks. Wall Street analysts, on an average, maintain a Buy on GOEV while SA authors give a Hold.
Seeking Alpha Jul 21

Canoo discloses ~$7.37M share sale by DD Global

Canoo (NASDAQ:GOEV) has disclosed a ~$7.37M share sale by its 10% owner DD Global. DD Global sold 1,832,030 shares held in the EV startup at $4.00 - $4.175 price range. A look at GOEV's ownership composition:
Seeking Alpha Jul 14

Canoo stock jumps after the U.S. Army selects it's multi-purpose platform for analysis and demonstration

Canoo (NASDAQ:GOEV) has won a contract by the U.S. Army to supply an electric vehicle for analysis and demonstration. This contract supports the military's focus to incorporate scalable and adaptable capabilities in operational and garrison environments. "As an American company based in the heartland, it is an honor to be selected by the U.S. Army," said Tony Aquila, Investor, Chairman & CEO at Canoo. "This is another opportunity to prove our proprietary technology – which is customizable and adaptable for multiple use cases and special environments." The company's multi-purpose platform was recently selected by NASA for crew transportation vehicles to deliver astronauts to the Artemis launch site for lunar missions to establish the first long-term presence on the Moon. Shares up 13% PM.
Seeking Alpha Jun 19

Canoo Is Fighting For Its Life

Canoo remains pre-revenue and is fast burning through its cash reserves. The company warned on its ability to remain a going concern during its fiscal 2022 first quarter earnings. Raising cash through an equity offering with a collapsed stock price poses a significant level of difficulty.
Seeking Alpha Mar 22

Canoo: A Sinking EV Maker, Investors Should Don Lifejackets

A precarious cash position and ramping costs make Canoo’s “Lifestyle” van unlikely to reach production. The company’s prototype factory just broke ground in February; volume production site remains wishful thinking. Investor appetite for pre-revenue EV companies seems increasingly indifferent to news and announcements. A 70% or more downside potential exists over the next 12-18 months.
Seeking Alpha Mar 11

Canoo's High Cash Burn May Lead To Further Dilution

Canoo had a disappointing Q4 2021 earnings report in my opinion. Cash burn was higher than expected at $189 million for the quarter and as of December 31, 2021, there was only $225 million in cash & equivalents left. The likelihood Canoo will need to raise additional cash by the end of this year continues to grow. Last month, more key executives announced their departures. I remain bearish with a new target price of $2.75/share.
Seeking Alpha Jan 31

Canoo Vs. Workhorse: Which Automobile Stock Is The Better Buy?

The electric commercial vehicle market will be huge and attractive, but it will also be highly competitive. Both Workhorse and Canoo seek to become major players in that market, but Canoo might have a better shot at it due to stronger resources and no faulty products. Interest rate worries and competition from powerful peers will be an issue for both stocks.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqCM:GOEV - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027213-236-150N/A2
12/31/2026212-240-41263
12/31/202565-204-200-1526
12/31/20243-161-80-1285
9/30/20242-145-201-170N/A
6/30/20241-259-245-205N/A
3/31/20241-323-285-231N/A
12/31/20231-303-318-251N/A
9/30/20231-354-316-262N/A
6/30/2023N/A-360-358-292N/A
3/31/2023N/A-453-435-347N/A
12/31/2022N/A-488-498-400N/A
9/30/2022N/A-546-601-450N/A
6/30/2022N/A-509-629-430N/A
3/31/2022N/A-457-546-367N/A
12/31/2021N/A-347-464-301N/A
9/30/2021N/A-218-329-223N/A
6/30/20213-160-209-174N/A
3/31/20213-71-156-137N/A
12/31/20203-87-115-107N/A
9/30/20203-110-114-109N/A
6/30/2020N/A-151-145-136N/A
3/31/2020N/A-170-172-156N/A
12/31/2019N/A-182-194-171N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GOEV is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: GOEV is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: GOEV is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GOEV's revenue (45.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GOEV's revenue (45.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GOEV's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 15:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

Canoo Inc. is covered by 3 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John MurphyBofA Global Research
Colin RuschOppenheimer & Co. Inc.
Stephen GengaroStifel, Equities Research