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Take Care Before Jumping Onto Cenntro Inc. (NASDAQ:CENN) Even Though It's 26% Cheaper
Cenntro Inc. (NASDAQ:CENN) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 55% loss during that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Cenntro's P/S ratio of 1.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Auto industry in the United States is also close to 1.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Cenntro
How Cenntro Has Been Performing
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Cenntro as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Cenntro's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
Cenntro's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 125% gain to the company's top line. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 15% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Cenntro's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Following Cenntro's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We didn't quite envision Cenntro's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Cenntro (including 2 which are potentially serious).
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Cenntro, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:CENN
Cenntro
Engages in the design, development, and manufacture of electric light and medium-duty commercial vehicles in Europe, Asia, and the United States.