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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Aurotek Corporation (TWSE:6215) With Shares Advancing 30%
Aurotek Corporation (TWSE:6215) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 409% gain over the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Aurotek is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 8.3x, considering almost half the companies in Taiwan's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 1.8x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Aurotek
How Has Aurotek Performed Recently?
Aurotek has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Aurotek's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Aurotek's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 29% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 30% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Aurotek's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Aurotek's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Aurotek have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Aurotek currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Aurotek you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:6215
Aurotek
Engages in the processing, manufacturing, and trading of various automation equipment and system components in Taiwan, Mainland China, Japan, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.
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