Stock Analysis

ITEQ Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Published
TWSE:6213

ITEQ Corporation (TWSE:6213) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 2.2% to NT$77.20 in the week after its latest quarterly results. Statutory earnings per share fell badly short of expectations, coming in at NT$0.69, some 21% below analyst forecasts, although revenues were okay, approximately in line with analyst estimates at NT$8.0b. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

See our latest analysis for ITEQ

TWSE:6213 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2024

Following the latest results, ITEQ's seven analysts are now forecasting revenues of NT$34.4b in 2025. This would be a major 21% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to surge 112% to NT$5.42. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of NT$34.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of NT$5.47 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of NT$93.16, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on ITEQ, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at NT$140 and the most bearish at NT$70.00 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that ITEQ's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 16% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 1.7% p.a. over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 14% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that ITEQ is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at NT$93.16, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for ITEQ going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for ITEQ that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.