Stock Analysis

Is Winmate (TWSE:3416) Using Too Much Debt?

TWSE:3416
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Winmate Inc. (TWSE:3416) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is Winmate's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Winmate had debt of NT$491.0m, up from NT$116.0m in one year. But on the other hand it also has NT$1.62b in cash, leading to a NT$1.13b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:3416 Debt to Equity History January 6th 2025

A Look At Winmate's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Winmate had liabilities of NT$651.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$497.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had NT$1.62b in cash and NT$356.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast NT$827.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Winmate could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Winmate boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Winmate's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Winmate can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Winmate has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Winmate recorded free cash flow worth 62% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Winmate has NT$1.13b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So is Winmate's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Winmate is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Winmate might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.