Stock Analysis

Earnings Miss: Acer Incorporated Missed EPS By 24% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

TWSE:2353
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Acer Incorporated (TWSE:2353) came out with its third-quarter results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. It looks like a pretty bad result, all things considered. Although revenues of NT$73b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings fell badly short, missing estimates by 24% to hit NT$0.50 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

See our latest analysis for Acer

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TWSE:2353 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 10th 2024

Following the latest results, Acer's eight analysts are now forecasting revenues of NT$285.5b in 2025. This would be a decent 9.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 41% to NT$2.41. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of NT$287.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of NT$2.41 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of NT$40.83, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Acer analyst has a price target of NT$50.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at NT$29.50. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Acer shareholders.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. For example, we noticed that Acer's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 7.2% growth to the end of 2025 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 0.07% a year over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 21% annually for the foreseeable future. Although Acer's revenues are expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are still bearish on the business, forecasting it to grow slower than the broader industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Acer analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Acer , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.