Stock Analysis

Is WinMate Inc.'s (TPE:3416) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

TWSE:3416
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With its stock down 6.9% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard WinMate (TPE:3416). It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study WinMate's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for WinMate

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for WinMate is:

11% = NT$241m ÷ NT$2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every NT$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn NT$0.11 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

WinMate's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To begin with, WinMate seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.9%. Despite the moderate return on equity, WinMate has posted a net income growth of 4.9% over the past five years. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are moderate could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

We then compared WinMate's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 9.2% in the same period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
TSEC:3416 Past Earnings Growth January 22nd 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about WinMate's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is WinMate Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 92% (or a retention ratio of 8.4%), most of WinMate's profits are being paid to shareholders. This definitely contributes to the low earnings growth seen by the company.

Additionally, WinMate has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by WinMate can be open to many interpretations. In spite of the high ROE, the company has failed to see growth in its earnings due to it paying out most of its profits as dividend, with almost nothing left to invest into its own business. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for WinMate by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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