Stock Analysis

Does Avertronics (GTSM:3597) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TPEX:3597
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Avertronics Inc. (GTSM:3597) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Avertronics

What Is Avertronics's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Avertronics had debt of NT$322.9m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from NT$500.8m over a year. However, it does have NT$189.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$133.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:3597 Debt to Equity History January 13th 2021

How Strong Is Avertronics' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Avertronics had liabilities of NT$372.5m due within a year, and liabilities of NT$126.4m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$189.7m and NT$264.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$44.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Avertronics shares are worth a total of NT$844.9m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Avertronics's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 17.4 times, makes us even more comfortable. Even more impressive was the fact that Avertronics grew its EBIT by 305% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Avertronics will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Avertronics reported free cash flow worth 18% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Happily, Avertronics's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Avertronics takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Avertronics is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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