Groundhog Valuation
Is 6906 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 6906 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 6906 (NT$171.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NT$7.8)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 6906 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6906?
Key metric: As 6906 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 6906's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 51.9x |
| Earnings | NT$110.86m |
| Market Cap | NT$5.75b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 12.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 37.7x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 6906's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 34.2x | ||
6870 Turn Cloud Technology Service | 74x | n/a | NT$6.1b |
5203 CyberLink | 27.8x | n/a | NT$6.6b |
8416 Solidwizard Technology | 14.7x | n/a | NT$4.4b |
6752 Galaxy Software Services | 20.2x | n/a | NT$4.4b |
6906 Groundhog | 51.9x | 42.7% | NT$5.8b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6906 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.9x) compared to the peer average (34.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 6906's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Software Industry?
| 8 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6906 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.9x) compared to the Asian Software industry average (28.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 6906's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 51.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 31.2x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6906 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.
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