Stock Analysis

Azion Corporation's (GTSM:6148) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

TPEX:6148
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Azion (GTSM:6148) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 42% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Azion's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Azion

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Azion is:

10% = NT$52m ÷ NT$514m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every NT$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated NT$0.10 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Azion's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

At first glance, Azion seems to have a decent ROE. Be that as it may, the company's ROE is still quite lower than the industry average of 14%. Moreover, Azion's net income shrunk at a rate of 3.3%over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a high ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is higher. Hence there might be some other aspects that are causing earnings to shrink. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

That being said, we compared Azion's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 16% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
GTSM:6148 Past Earnings Growth December 1st 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Azion is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Azion Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Azion's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 70% (or a retention ratio of 30%). With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Azion by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Additionally, Azion has paid dividends over a period of six years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Azion's performance. Primarily, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which explains the lack of growth. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Azion's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

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