Stock Analysis

Sunplus Technology Company Limited's (TWSE:2401) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

TWSE:2401
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Sunplus Technology Company Limited (TWSE:2401) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 5.2% over that longer period.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Sunplus Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in Taiwan, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Sunplus Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:2401 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024

What Does Sunplus Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Sunplus Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sunplus Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sunplus Technology would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.7%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 20% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Sunplus Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Sunplus Technology's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Sunplus Technology looks to be in line with the rest of the Semiconductor industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Sunplus Technology currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Sunplus Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.