Stock Analysis

Mosel Vitelic (TWSE:2342) delivers shareholders respectable 11% CAGR over 5 years, surging 11% in the last week alone

TWSE:2342

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. But Mosel Vitelic Inc. (TWSE:2342) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 55% over five years, which is below the market return. Zooming in, the stock is actually down 13% in the last year.

Since the stock has added NT$531m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

View our latest analysis for Mosel Vitelic

Mosel Vitelic wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

For the last half decade, Mosel Vitelic can boast revenue growth at a rate of 4.7% per year. Put simply, that growth rate fails to impress. Like its revenue, its share price gained over the period. The increase of 9% per year probably reflects the modest revenue growth. It seems likely that we'll have to zoom in on the data, including profits, to understand if there is an opportunity here.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

TWSE:2342 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 12th 2024

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Mosel Vitelic's TSR for the last 5 years was 69%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Mosel Vitelic shareholders are down 10% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 31%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 11% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Mosel Vitelic .

Of course Mosel Vitelic may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Taiwanese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.