ASPEED Technology Inc.

TPEX:5274 Stock Report

Market Cap: NT$114.2b

ASPEED Technology Valuation

Is 5274 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5274 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5274 (NT$3020) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NT$1237.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5274 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5274?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

5274 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue35.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA82.9x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5274's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5274 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average87.6x
2449 King Yuan Electronics
20x17.0%NT$116.8b
5347 Vanguard International Semiconductor
18.5x6.8%NT$136.0b
6526 Airoha Technology
111.7xn/aNT$108.2b
6415 Silergy
200.2x56.0%NT$149.4b
5274 ASPEED Technology
113.4x38.9%NT$114.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5274 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (113.4x) compared to the peer average (87.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5274's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the TW Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5274 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (113.4x) compared to the TW Semiconductor industry average (30.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5274's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5274 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio113.4x
Fair PE Ratio53.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5274 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (113.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5274 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNT$3,020.00
NT$3,343.23
+10.7%
9.4%NT$3,800.00NT$2,700.00n/a13
Apr ’25NT$3,350.00
NT$3,309.38
-1.2%
8.7%NT$3,800.00NT$2,700.00n/a13
Mar ’25NT$2,865.00
NT$3,085.17
+7.7%
13.3%NT$3,500.00NT$2,160.00n/a12
Feb ’25NT$3,030.00
NT$3,085.17
+1.8%
13.3%NT$3,500.00NT$2,160.00n/a12
Jan ’25NT$3,120.00
NT$2,903.50
-6.9%
16.1%NT$3,500.00NT$2,050.00n/a12
Dec ’24NT$2,885.00
NT$2,854.33
-1.1%
17.6%NT$3,500.00NT$1,750.00n/a12
Nov ’24NT$2,645.00
NT$2,677.67
+1.2%
20.0%NT$3,500.00NT$1,500.00n/a12
Oct ’24NT$2,765.00
NT$2,667.85
-3.5%
19.7%NT$3,500.00NT$1,500.00n/a13
Sep ’24NT$2,550.00
NT$2,632.64
+3.2%
19.7%NT$3,500.00NT$1,500.00n/a14
Aug ’24NT$2,250.00
NT$2,898.62
+28.8%
11.9%NT$3,500.00NT$2,200.00n/a13
Jul ’24NT$2,850.00
NT$2,934.38
+3.0%
16.1%NT$3,500.00NT$1,515.00n/a13
Jun ’24NT$2,885.00
NT$2,928.54
+1.5%
15.8%NT$3,400.00NT$1,515.00n/a13
May ’24NT$2,615.00
NT$2,859.31
+9.3%
17.9%NT$3,400.00NT$1,515.00n/a13
Apr ’24NT$2,635.00
NT$2,658.54
+0.9%
22.6%NT$3,400.00NT$1,515.00NT$3,350.0013
Mar ’24NT$2,965.00
NT$2,370.86
-20.0%
24.1%NT$3,400.00NT$1,400.00NT$2,865.0014
Feb ’24NT$2,160.00
NT$2,216.21
+2.6%
19.1%NT$3,000.00NT$1,400.00NT$3,030.0014
Jan ’24NT$1,685.00
NT$2,254.38
+33.8%
18.6%NT$3,000.00NT$1,500.00NT$3,120.0013
Dec ’23NT$2,205.00
NT$2,252.85
+2.2%
18.1%NT$3,000.00NT$1,500.00NT$2,885.0013
Nov ’23NT$1,735.00
NT$2,170.54
+25.1%
19.5%NT$3,000.00NT$1,500.00NT$2,645.0013
Oct ’23NT$1,780.00
NT$2,140.15
+20.2%
20.9%NT$3,000.00NT$1,500.00NT$2,765.0013
Sep ’23NT$1,965.00
NT$2,126.83
+8.2%
21.7%NT$3,000.00NT$1,500.00NT$2,550.0012
Aug ’23NT$1,825.00
NT$2,227.75
+22.1%
23.7%NT$3,272.73NT$1,500.00NT$2,250.0012
Jul ’23NT$1,725.00
NT$2,770.45
+60.6%
15.0%NT$3,363.64NT$1,900.00NT$2,850.0012
Jun ’23NT$2,090.91
NT$2,778.79
+32.9%
14.9%NT$3,363.64NT$1,909.09NT$2,885.0012
May ’23NT$2,409.09
NT$3,127.27
+29.8%
11.9%NT$3,636.36NT$2,318.18NT$2,615.0011
Apr ’23NT$3,013.64
NT$3,081.82
+2.3%
8.4%NT$3,545.45NT$2,727.27NT$2,635.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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