Stock Analysis

How Does Tontek Design Technology Ltd. (GTSM:5487) Fare As A Dividend Stock?

TPEX:5487
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Could Tontek Design Technology Ltd. (GTSM:5487) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.

A 2.9% yield is nothing to get excited about, but investors probably think the long payment history suggests Tontek Design Technology has some staying power. Some simple research can reduce the risk of buying Tontek Design Technology for its dividend - read on to learn more.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Tontek Design Technology!

historic-dividend
GTSM:5487 Historic Dividend February 2nd 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. In the last year, Tontek Design Technology paid out 71% of its profit as dividends. A payout ratio above 50% generally implies a business is reaching maturity, although it is still possible to reinvest in the business or increase the dividend over time.

We also measure dividends paid against a company's levered free cash flow, to see if enough cash was generated to cover the dividend. Tontek Design Technology paid out 129% of its free cash flow last year, suggesting the dividend is poorly covered by cash flow. Tontek Design Technology paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough free cash flow to cover the dividend. Were it to repeatedly pay dividends that were not well covered by cash flow, this could be a risk to Tontek Design Technology's ability to maintain its dividend.

With a strong net cash balance, Tontek Design Technology investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

Consider getting our latest analysis on Tontek Design Technology's financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of Tontek Design Technology's dividend payments. This dividend has been unstable, which we define as having been cut one or more times over this time. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was NT$2.5 in 2011, compared to NT$1.0 last year. The dividend has shrunk at around 8.8% a year during that period. Tontek Design Technology's dividend hasn't shrunk linearly at 8.8% per annum, but the CAGR is a useful estimate of the historical rate of change.

When a company's per-share dividend falls we question if this reflects poorly on either external business conditions, or the company's capital allocation decisions. Either way, we find it hard to get excited about a company with a declining dividend.

Dividend Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS are growing. In the last five years, Tontek Design Technology's earnings per share have shrunk at approximately 4.2% per annum. Declining earnings per share over a number of years is not a great sign for the dividend investor. Without some improvement, this does not bode well for the long term value of a company's dividend.

We'd also point out that Tontek Design Technology issued a meaningful number of new shares in the past year. Regularly issuing new shares can be detrimental - it's hard to grow dividends per share when new shares are regularly being created.

Conclusion

When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. First, we think Tontek Design Technology has an acceptable payout ratio, although its dividend was not well covered by cashflow. Earnings per share are down, and Tontek Design Technology's dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. There are a few too many issues for us to get comfortable with Tontek Design Technology from a dividend perspective. Businesses can change, but we would struggle to identify why an investor should rely on this stock for their income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 4 warning signs for Tontek Design Technology that investors need to be conscious of moving forward.

If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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