Stock Analysis

Transcom (GTSM:5222) Is Growing Earnings But Are They A Good Guide?

TWSE:5222
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Many investors consider it preferable to invest in profitable companies over unprofitable ones, because profitability suggests a business is sustainable. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Transcom (GTSM:5222).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Transcom made a profit of NT$149.9m on revenue of NT$650.9m. One positive is that it has grown both its profit and its revenue, over the last few years.

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earnings-and-revenue-history
GTSM:5222 Earnings and Revenue History December 30th 2020

Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. In this article we will consider how Transcom's decision to issue new shares in the company has impacted returns to shareholders. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Transcom.

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Transcom issued 9.3% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Transcom's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting Transcom's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

Transcom has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 28% in that time. And at a glance the 145% gain in profit over the last year impresses. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 144% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Transcom can grow EPS persistently. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

Our Take On Transcom's Profit Performance

Each Transcom share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that Transcom's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example - Transcom has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Transcom's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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