momo.com Inc.

TWSE:8454 Stock Report

Market Cap: NT$105.9b

momo.com Valuation

Is 8454 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8454 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8454 (NT$419.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NT$520.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8454 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8454?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

8454 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA21x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8454's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8454 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.3x
5904 POYA International
20.1x11.2%NT$51.6b
2903 Far Eastern Department Stores
17.6xn/aNT$48.4b
2910 Tonlin Department StoreLtd
23.4xn/aNT$4.8b
2942 Jing-Jan Retail Business
12.2xn/aNT$2.6b
8454 momo.com
29x12.5%NT$105.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8454 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the peer average (18.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8454's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.2%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.2%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8454 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the Asian Multiline Retail industry average (21.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8454's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8454 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29x
Fair PE Ratio26.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8454 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8454 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNT$419.50
NT$465.38
+10.9%
12.4%NT$520.00NT$365.00n/a8
Apr ’25NT$392.50
NT$465.38
+18.6%
12.4%NT$520.00NT$365.00n/a8
Mar ’25NT$432.00
NT$465.38
+7.7%
12.4%NT$520.00NT$365.00n/a8
Feb ’25NT$443.50
NT$551.71
+24.4%
22.1%NT$690.00NT$370.00n/a7
Jan ’25NT$509.00
NT$588.86
+15.7%
16.6%NT$690.00NT$370.00n/a7
Dec ’24NT$516.00
NT$608.78
+18.0%
15.9%NT$727.27NT$391.00n/a8
Nov ’24NT$524.00
NT$622.51
+18.8%
16.1%NT$727.27NT$391.00n/a8
Oct ’24NT$502.00
NT$626.72
+24.8%
16.2%NT$727.27NT$391.00n/a8
Sep ’24NT$520.00
NT$619.71
+19.2%
15.7%NT$727.27NT$391.00n/a9
Aug ’24NT$548.18
NT$638.38
+16.5%
19.1%NT$854.55NT$390.91n/a9
Jul ’24NT$625.45
NT$733.41
+17.3%
20.3%NT$863.64NT$390.91n/a8
Jun ’24NT$631.82
NT$733.41
+16.1%
20.3%NT$863.64NT$390.91n/a8
May ’24NT$753.64
NT$731.25
-3.0%
22.3%NT$865.45NT$390.91NT$442.008
Apr ’24NT$820.91
NT$726.14
-11.5%
21.9%NT$865.45NT$390.91NT$392.508
Mar ’24NT$723.64
NT$695.96
-3.8%
24.8%NT$865.45NT$390.91NT$432.009
Feb ’24NT$727.27
NT$623.13
-14.3%
22.1%NT$822.73NT$436.36NT$443.509
Jan ’24NT$583.64
NT$559.19
-4.2%
16.7%NT$688.18NT$436.36NT$509.009
Dec ’23NT$565.45
NT$543.41
-3.9%
16.0%NT$688.18NT$436.36NT$516.008
Nov ’23NT$444.55
NT$558.79
+25.7%
16.6%NT$688.18NT$436.36NT$524.009
Oct ’23NT$485.45
NT$767.68
+58.1%
13.2%NT$909.09NT$618.18NT$502.009
Sep ’23NT$640.91
NT$770.71
+20.3%
12.1%NT$909.09NT$659.09NT$520.009
Aug ’23NT$720.91
NT$770.71
+6.9%
12.1%NT$909.09NT$659.09NT$548.189
Jul ’23NT$583.64
NT$740.53
+26.9%
14.7%NT$909.09NT$606.06NT$625.458
Jun ’23NT$598.48
NT$724.57
+21.1%
15.4%NT$965.91NT$606.06NT$631.827
May ’23NT$599.24
NT$831.71
+38.8%
31.2%NT$1,409.09NT$606.06NT$753.647

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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