Stock Analysis

Huaku Development Co., Ltd. (TPE:2548) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

TWSE:2548
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Huaku Development (TPE:2548) has had a rough three months with its share price down 2.4%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Huaku Development's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Huaku Development

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Huaku Development is:

13% = NT$2.3b ÷ NT$17b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every NT$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn NT$0.13 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Huaku Development's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

To start with, Huaku Development's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 7.9% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Despite this, Huaku Development's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 3.8%. This is interesting as the high returns should mean that the company has the ability to generate high growth but for some reason, it hasn't been able to do so. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

As a next step, we compared Huaku Development's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 3.8% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
TSEC:2548 Past Earnings Growth February 12th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Huaku Development's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Huaku Development Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 66% (that is, the company retains only 34% of its income) over the past three years for Huaku Development suggests that the company's earnings growth was lower as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

Additionally, Huaku Development has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Huaku Development certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Its earnings have grown respectably as we saw earlier, which was likely due to the company reinvesting its earnings at a pretty high rate of return. However, given the high ROE, we do think that the company is reinvesting a small portion of its profits. This could likely be preventing the company from growing to its full extent. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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