Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Radium Life Technology Co., Ltd. (TPE:2547) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Radium Life Technology
What Is Radium Life Technology's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Radium Life Technology had debt of NT$35.9b, up from NT$34.0b in one year. However, it does have NT$3.66b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$32.2b.
How Healthy Is Radium Life Technology's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Radium Life Technology had liabilities of NT$11.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$32.6b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$3.66b and NT$583.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$40.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the NT$11.2b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Radium Life Technology would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 2.0 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 24.3 hit our confidence in Radium Life Technology like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Radium Life Technology's EBIT was down 26% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Radium Life Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Radium Life Technology actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
On the face of it, Radium Life Technology's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Radium Life Technology's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Radium Life Technology (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:2547
Radium Life Tech
Develops, sells, manages, and leases public housing, building, and industrial zone projects in Taiwan.
Slight and slightly overvalued.