Stock Analysis

JSL Construction & Development Co., Ltd. (TWSE:2540) Stock Rockets 26% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

TWSE:2540
Source: Shutterstock

JSL Construction & Development Co., Ltd. (TWSE:2540) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The annual gain comes to 206% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

After such a large jump in price, JSL Construction & Development's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Taiwan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 20x and even P/E's below 14x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, JSL Construction & Development has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for JSL Construction & Development

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:2540 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 5th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on JSL Construction & Development will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

JSL Construction & Development's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 170%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 102% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that JSL Construction & Development is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

JSL Construction & Development's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that JSL Construction & Development currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for JSL Construction & Development (of which 3 are significant!) you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than JSL Construction & Development. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.