David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies WE & WIN Development Co., LTD (TWSE:2537) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for WE & WIN Development
What Is WE & WIN Development's Net Debt?
As you can see below, WE & WIN Development had NT$9.32b of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had NT$232.0m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$9.09b.
A Look At WE & WIN Development's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that WE & WIN Development had liabilities of NT$9.68b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$2.02b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$232.0m in cash and NT$62.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$11.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the NT$5.08b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, WE & WIN Development would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weak interest cover of 0.34 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 177 hit our confidence in WE & WIN Development like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, WE & WIN Development's EBIT was down 85% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since WE & WIN Development will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, WE & WIN Development burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both WE & WIN Development's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that WE & WIN Development is carrying heavy debt load. If you play with fire you risk getting burnt, so we'd probably give this stock a wide berth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for WE & WIN Development you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:2537
WE & WIN Development
Engages in the development and construction of real estate in Taiwan.
Acceptable track record with mediocre balance sheet.