Stock Analysis

Does Hung Ching Development & Construction (TWSE:2527) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TWSE:2527
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hung Ching Development & Construction Co. Ltd (TWSE:2527) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hung Ching Development & Construction

What Is Hung Ching Development & Construction's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Hung Ching Development & Construction had NT$14.5b of debt, an increase on NT$9.83b, over one year. On the flip side, it has NT$572.4m in cash leading to net debt of about NT$13.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:2527 Debt to Equity History August 9th 2024

How Healthy Is Hung Ching Development & Construction's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hung Ching Development & Construction had liabilities of NT$14.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$3.13b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$572.4m in cash and NT$1.87b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$14.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of NT$10.4b, we think shareholders really should watch Hung Ching Development & Construction's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Strangely Hung Ching Development & Construction has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 22.0, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. Notably, Hung Ching Development & Construction's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 1,699% on last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hung Ching Development & Construction will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hung Ching Development & Construction saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Hung Ching Development & Construction's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Hung Ching Development & Construction has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Hung Ching Development & Construction (at least 2 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.