Shanyuan Valuation

Is 4416 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4416 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4416 (NT$73.9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NT$2.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4416 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4416?

Key metric: As 4416 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4416. This is calculated by dividing 4416's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4416's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	45.1x
Sales	NT$112.50m
Market Cap	NT$5.02b

4416 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	150.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	240.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4416's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4416 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	3x
5206 Kunyue Development	1.7x	n/a	NT$6.5b
6212 Li Ming Development Construction	0.8x	n/a	NT$5.9b
3266 Sunty Development	1.9x	n/a	NT$6.7b
2538 Kee Tai Properties	7.4x	n/a	NT$7.1b
4416 Shanyuan	44.6x	n/a	NT$5.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4416 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (45.1x) compared to the peer average (3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4416's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the TW Real Estate Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
2514 Long Bon InternationalLtd	0.3x	n/a	US$220.88m
6721 Sincere Security	0.4x	n/a	US$39.78m
5547 Jioushun Construction	0.3x	n/a	US$18.54m

No more companies available in this PS range

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4416 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (45.1x) compared to the TW Real Estate industry average (2.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4416's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4416 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	45.1x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4416's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.