Allied Supreme Valuation

Is 4770 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4770 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4770 (NT$320) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NT$1000.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4770 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4770?

Key metric: As 4770 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4770. This is calculated by dividing 4770's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4770's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.1x
EarningsNT$1.70b
Market CapNT$25.59b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4770's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4770 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.9x
4772 Taiwan Speciality Chemicals
73.6xn/aNT$24.7b
4766 Nan Pao Resins Chemical
13.4x3.3%NT$35.4b
5234 Daxin Materials
47.1xn/aNT$23.5b
1723 China Steel Chemical
17.5x8.4%NT$22.1b
4770 Allied Supreme
15.1x10.8%NT$25.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4770 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the peer average (37.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4770's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the TW Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
4770 15.1xIndustry Avg. 22.4xNo. of Companies16PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4770 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the TW Chemicals industry average (22.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4770's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4770 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4770 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4770 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNT$320.00
NT$445.67
+39.3%
6.2%NT$470.00NT$407.00n/a3
Nov ’25NT$335.00
NT$445.67
+33.0%
6.2%NT$470.00NT$407.00n/a3
Oct ’25NT$335.00
NT$445.67
+33.0%
6.2%NT$470.00NT$407.00n/a3
Sep ’25NT$381.50
NT$444.00
+16.4%
4.1%NT$470.00NT$430.00n/a3
Aug ’25NT$405.00
NT$425.75
+5.1%
8.3%NT$470.00NT$371.00n/a4
Jul ’25NT$421.00
NT$411.00
-2.4%
6.9%NT$432.00NT$371.00n/a3
Jun ’25NT$390.00
NT$419.25
+7.5%
12.4%NT$499.00NT$371.00n/a4
May ’25NT$426.00
NT$419.25
-1.6%
12.4%NT$499.00NT$371.00n/a4
Apr ’25NT$425.00
NT$419.25
-1.4%
12.4%NT$499.00NT$371.00n/a4
Mar ’25NT$391.00
NT$368.67
-5.7%
1.7%NT$375.00NT$360.00n/a3
Feb ’25NT$328.00
NT$368.67
+12.4%
1.7%NT$375.00NT$360.00n/a3
Jan ’25NT$325.50
NT$367.50
+12.9%
2.0%NT$375.00NT$360.00n/a2
Dec ’24NT$335.00
NT$367.50
+9.7%
2.0%NT$375.00NT$360.00n/a2
Nov ’24NT$308.50
NT$319.33
+3.5%
6.9%NT$343.00NT$290.00NT$335.003
Oct ’24NT$293.00
NT$327.67
+11.8%
8.2%NT$350.00NT$290.00NT$335.003
Sep ’24NT$287.00
NT$320.00
+11.5%
9.4%NT$350.00NT$290.00NT$381.502
Aug ’24NT$315.00
NT$338.50
+7.5%
3.4%NT$350.00NT$327.00NT$405.002
Jul ’24NT$319.50
NT$338.50
+5.9%
3.4%NT$350.00NT$327.00NT$421.002
Jun ’24NT$298.50
NT$338.50
+13.4%
3.4%NT$350.00NT$327.00NT$390.002
May ’24NT$281.50
NT$379.50
+34.8%
7.8%NT$409.00NT$350.00NT$426.002
Apr ’24NT$302.00
NT$379.50
+25.7%
7.8%NT$409.00NT$350.00NT$425.002
Mar ’24NT$347.00
NT$417.00
+20.2%
1.9%NT$425.00NT$409.00NT$391.002
Feb ’24NT$335.00
NT$417.00
+24.5%
1.9%NT$425.00NT$409.00NT$328.002
Jan ’24NT$321.00
NT$386.00
+20.2%
11.5%NT$425.00NT$324.00NT$325.503
Dec ’23NT$317.00
NT$386.00
+21.8%
11.5%NT$425.00NT$324.00NT$335.003
Nov ’23NT$259.50
NT$353.67
+36.3%
13.7%NT$422.00NT$315.00NT$308.503

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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