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Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Quintain Steel Co., LTD. (TWSE:2017)
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Taiwan have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, Quintain Steel Co., LTD. (TWSE:2017) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 1.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Check out our latest analysis for Quintain Steel
What Does Quintain Steel's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Quintain Steel over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Quintain Steel, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Quintain Steel's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Quintain Steel's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.4% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 18% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 4.6% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Quintain Steel is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Quintain Steel revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Quintain Steel (1 is potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Quintain Steel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About TWSE:2017
Quintain Steel
Engages in the production and sale of galvanized wires in Taiwan and internationally.
Acceptable track record with mediocre balance sheet.