Stock Analysis

Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd (TPE:2028) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

TWSE:2028
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Wei Chih Steel Industrial Co.,Ltd. (TPE:2028) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd

What Is Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd had NT$1.90b of debt in September 2020, down from NT$2.22b, one year before. However, it does have NT$48.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$1.86b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2028 Debt to Equity History March 1st 2021

How Strong Is Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd had liabilities of NT$1.98b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$1.77b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$48.1m and NT$310.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$3.39b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd is worth NT$8.48b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.5 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Sadly, Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd's EBIT actually dropped 9.0% in the last year. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 73% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to grow its EBIT. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Wei Chih Steel IndustrialLtd you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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