Stock Analysis

The Taiwan Fertilizer (TPE:1722) Share Price Has Gained 35% And Shareholders Are Hoping For More

TWSE:1722
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By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, the Taiwan Fertilizer Co., Ltd. (TPE:1722) share price is up 35% in the last three years, clearly besting the market return of around 25% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 15% in the last year , including dividends .

Check out our latest analysis for Taiwan Fertilizer

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During three years of share price growth, Taiwan Fertilizer achieved compound earnings per share growth of 53% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 10% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
TSEC:1722 Earnings Per Share Growth November 22nd 2020

We know that Taiwan Fertilizer has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Taiwan Fertilizer stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Taiwan Fertilizer, it has a TSR of 54% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Taiwan Fertilizer shareholders gained a total return of 15% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 10% over half a decade This suggests the company might be improving over time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Taiwan Fertilizer better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Taiwan Fertilizer has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

But note: Taiwan Fertilizer may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on TW exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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