Stock Analysis

Does Mechema Chemicals International's (GTSM:4721) Statutory Profit Adequately Reflect Its Underlying Profit?

TPEX:4721
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Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing Mechema Chemicals International (GTSM:4721).

We like the fact that Mechema Chemicals International made a profit of NT$155.4m on its revenue of NT$2.66b, in the last year. In the last few years both its revenue and its profit have fallen, as you can see in the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for Mechema Chemicals International

earnings-and-revenue-history
GTSM:4721 Earnings and Revenue History February 11th 2021

Not all profits are equal, and we can learn more about the nature of a company's past profitability by diving deeper into the financial statements. As a result, we think it's well worth considering what Mechema Chemicals International's cashflow (when compared to its earnings) can tell us about the nature of its statutory profit. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Mechema Chemicals International.

A Closer Look At Mechema Chemicals International's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Mechema Chemicals International has an accrual ratio of -0.17 for the year to September 2020. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of NT$384m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of NT$155.4m. Over the last year, Mechema Chemicals International's free cash flow remained steady.

Our Take On Mechema Chemicals International's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Mechema Chemicals International's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Mechema Chemicals International's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Mechema Chemicals International you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Mechema Chemicals International's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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