Raku Valuation

Is 4154 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4154 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4154 (NT$18.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NT$33.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4154 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4154?

Key metric: As 4154 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4154. This is calculated by dividing 4154's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4154's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio7.2x
SalesNT$65.10m
Market CapNT$466.11m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4154's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4154 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
1213 Oceanic Beverages
4.6xn/aNT$696.5m
1234 Hey Song
1.6xn/aNT$16.7b
2733 Vigor KoboLtd
0.9xn/aNT$365.4m
1240 Morn Sun Feed Mill
0.7xn/aNT$2.1b
4154 Raku
7.2xn/aNT$466.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4154 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4154's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Beverage Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4154 7.2xIndustry Avg. 2.0xNo. of Companies25PS0246810+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4154 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the Asian Beverage industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4154's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4154 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4154's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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