Horizon Securities Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 6015 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

6015 (NT$11.9) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (NT$5.33)

Is 6015 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6015 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6015 (NT$11.9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NT$5.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6015 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6015?

Key metric: As 6015 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6015. This is calculated by dividing 6015's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6015's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	11.6x
Earnings	NT$394.44m
Market Cap	NT$4.58b

6015 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6015's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6015 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	11.2x
6020 Tachan Securities	20.8x	n/a	NT$4.8b
6026 Grand Fortune SecuritiesLtd	9.1x	n/a	NT$5.1b
5864 Concord International Securities	5.3x	n/a	NT$5.6b
6016 Concord Securities	9.5x	n/a	NT$8.7b
6015 Horizon Securities	11.6x	n/a	NT$4.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6015 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (11.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6015's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Capital Markets Industry?

40 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

40 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6015 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the Asian Capital Markets industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6015's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6015 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	11.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 6015's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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