Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Formosa International Hotels Corporation (TWSE:2707) For Its Upcoming Dividend

TWSE:2707
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Readers hoping to buy Formosa International Hotels Corporation (TWSE:2707) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. In other words, investors can purchase Formosa International Hotels' shares before the 20th of June in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 11th of July.

The company's upcoming dividend is NT$11.3821 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of NT$11.38 per share to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Formosa International Hotels has a trailing yield of approximately 5.0% on its current stock price of NT$227.50. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Formosa International Hotels

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Formosa International Hotels paid out 98% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Formosa International Hotels paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 142%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Formosa International Hotels does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Formosa International Hotels's payments were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we are concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
TWSE:2707 Historic Dividend June 16th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks with flat earnings can still be attractive dividend payers, but it is important to be more conservative with your approach and demand a greater margin for safety when it comes to dividend sustainability. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. It's not encouraging to see that Formosa International Hotels's earnings are effectively flat over the past five years. We'd take that over an earnings decline any day, but in the long run, the best dividend stocks all grow their earnings per share. Minimal earnings growth, combined with concerningly high payout ratios suggests that Formosa International Hotels is unlikely to grow the dividend much in future, and indeed the payment could be vulnerable to a cut.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the past 10 years, Formosa International Hotels has increased its dividend at approximately 5.1% a year on average.

Final Takeaway

Is Formosa International Hotels worth buying for its dividend? Earnings per share are effectively flat, plus Formosa International Hotels's dividend is not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, which is not great. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Formosa International Hotels. To help with this, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Formosa International Hotels that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.