Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy First Hotel Company Ltd. (TWSE:2706) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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TWSE:2706

It looks like First Hotel Company Ltd. (TWSE:2706) is about to go ex-dividend in the next 3 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. This means that investors who purchase First Hotel's shares on or after the 19th of September will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 23rd of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be NT$0.35 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of NT$0.35 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, First Hotel has a trailing yield of approximately 2.3% on its current stock price of NT$14.90. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether First Hotel's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

View our latest analysis for First Hotel

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. First Hotel is paying out an acceptable 55% of its profit, a common payout level among most companies. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether First Hotel generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. The company paid out 99% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Companies usually need cash more than they need earnings - expenses don't pay themselves - so it's not great to see it paying out so much of its cash flow.

While First Hotel's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to First Hotel's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see how much of its profit First Hotel paid out over the last 12 months.

TWSE:2706 Historic Dividend September 15th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. First Hotel's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 5.7% a year over the previous five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. First Hotel has delivered 13% dividend growth per year on average over the past 10 years. That's interesting, but the combination of a growing dividend despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out more of the company's profits. This can be valuable for shareholders, but it can't go on forever.

Final Takeaway

Should investors buy First Hotel for the upcoming dividend? It's definitely not great to see earnings per share shrinking. The company paid out an acceptable percentage of its income, but an uncomfortably high percentage of its cash flow over the past year. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of First Hotel.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with First Hotel. For example, First Hotel has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.